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新质生产力对黄河流域九省(区)碳排放的影响研究

程云洁 陈亮 段鑫

人民黄河2025,Vol.47Issue(6):8-13,24,7.
人民黄河2025,Vol.47Issue(6):8-13,24,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-1379.2025.06.002

新质生产力对黄河流域九省(区)碳排放的影响研究

Effect of New Quality Productivity on Carbon Emission of Nine Provinces in the Yellow River Basin

程云洁 1陈亮 1段鑫2

作者信息

  • 1. 新疆财经大学 经济学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830012
  • 2. 山东管理学院 经贸学院,山东 济南 250357
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In order to explore the influence mechanism of new quality productivity to the carbon emissions in the Yellow River Basin,and then provide references for developing new quality productivity and promoting carbon reduction and emission reduction in the Yellow River Basin,this paper took 2013-2022 as the study period and nine provinces in the Yellow River Basin as the measurement unit,and used the entropy method to measure the development level of new quality productivity according to the three indicators of labor force,labor object and labor data.Furthermore,the direct impact of new quality productivity on carbon emissions was tested empirically by using the fixed effect model of individual and time factors,and the robustness test was conducted.The mechanism of influence of new quality productivity to the carbon emissions was tested empirically with the level of industrial structure upgrading and green technology innovation as the intermediary variable,and the level of market integration and the target of economic growth as the moderating variable.The results show that a)the devel-opment of new quality productivity has a significant inhibitory effect on carbon emissions in the nine provinces of the Yellow River Basin.b)New quality productivity reduces carbon emissions by improving the level of green technology innovation and industrial structure upgra-ding.c)Excessive economic growth target will increase carbon emissions and weaken the carbon reduction effect of new quality productivity,while the improvement of market integration level will reduce carbon emissions and enhance the carbon reduction effect of new quality produc-tivity.Suggestions:Further improve the institutional mechanisms for the development of new quality productivity,continue to strengthen sup-port for enterprises'green innovation and further optimize the industrial structure,so as to enhance the carbon reduction and emission reduc-tion effect of new quality productivity.

关键词

新质生产力/碳排放量/绿色技术创新/产业结构升级/黄河流域

Key words

new quality productivity/carbon emissions/green technology innovation/industrial structure upgrading/Yellow River Basin

分类

经济学

引用本文复制引用

程云洁,陈亮,段鑫..新质生产力对黄河流域九省(区)碳排放的影响研究[J].人民黄河,2025,47(6):8-13,24,7.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(72064034) (72064034)

新疆维吾尔自治区社会科学基金资助项目(21BJL035) (21BJL035)

新疆财经大学研究生创新项目(XJUFE2022B09) (XJUFE2022B09)

山东省社会科学规划研究项目(24CRKJ04) (24CRKJ04)

山东省重点研发计划项目(2023RKY05013) (2023RKY05013)

人民黄河

OA北大核心

1000-1379

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