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石羊河流域径流变化特征及其驱动因素

俞建全 谢飞 秦向南 管伟瑾

人民黄河2025,Vol.47Issue(6):39-45,7.
人民黄河2025,Vol.47Issue(6):39-45,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-1379.2025.06.006

石羊河流域径流变化特征及其驱动因素

Characteristics and Driving Factors of Runoff Changes in the Shiyang River Basin

俞建全 1谢飞 2秦向南 3管伟瑾4

作者信息

  • 1. 甘肃水投引洮水务有限责任公司,甘肃 定西 743099
  • 2. 甘肃省水利水电勘测设计研究院有限责任公司,甘肃 兰州 730010
  • 3. 郑州大学 水利与交通学院,河南 郑州 450001
  • 4. 兰州理工大学 土木工程学院,甘肃 兰州 730050
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In order to deeply explore the characteristics and driving factors of runoff changes in the Shiyang River basin,and provide a scien-tific basis for basin management planning and ecological environment building,this study utilized the runoff data from 1956 to 2019 and ap-plied mathematical statistics to analyze the runoff characteristics,in conjunction with meteorological data to assess the impact of climate change on runoff.The findings reveal that a)a decreasing trend in runoff volumes for the Gulang River,Huangyang River,Zamu River and Jinta River,while the runoff of Dajing River and Xiyang River remains relatively stable.b)The basin exhibits periodic changes over 2 to 10 years and 10 to 30 years.c)Apart from the Dongda River and Xida River,which lack significant abrupt change years,other rivers in the ba-sin have notable abrupt changes in runoff between 1970 and 1990.d)The precipitation variation trends in the Shiyang River Basin are not significant,while the temperature has significantly increased.e)Based on the division of change points,the runoff reduction between the baseline and the change period ranges from 13.78%to 37.43%,with human activities identified as the key factor causing runoff reduction and changes.

关键词

径流变化/气候变化/石羊河流域

Key words

runoff variation/climate change/Shiyang River Basin

分类

地球科学

引用本文复制引用

俞建全,谢飞,秦向南,管伟瑾..石羊河流域径流变化特征及其驱动因素[J].人民黄河,2025,47(6):39-45,7.

基金项目

甘肃省科技计划在站博士后专项(25JRRA138) (25JRRA138)

2025年甘肃省水利科学试验研究及技术推广计划项目(25GSLK093,25GSLK094) (25GSLK093,25GSLK094)

人民黄河

OA北大核心

1000-1379

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