安徽农业科学2025，Vol.53Issue(10)：253-258,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.0517-6611.2025.10.050
家庭生命周期视角下的农户耕地经营规模决策分化研究
Research on the Decision Differentiation of Farmers'Farmland Management Scale from the Perspective of Family Life Cycle
摘要
Abstract
Based on the data of farmers in the 2021 Chinese Social Survey,this paper selects the OProbit model and the Probit model to em-pirically analyze the differentiation of farmers'farmland management scale decisions and its influencing factors from the perspective of house-hold life cycle.The results showed that:the samples of farmers with different family life cycles showed that 63.23%,24.92%and 11.85%of the farmers chose to make decisions about unchanged cultivated land management scale,reduced scale and increased scale,respectively.The family life cycle has a significant impact on the scale of farmland management,a significant positive effect on the decision to reduce the scale of farmland,and a significant negative effect on the decision to keep the scale of farmland unchanged and increase the scale of farmland.Farm-ers with larger household size are more willing to make decisions to increase the scale of cultivated land management,and the agricultural man-agement status and cultivated land contracted area are the main influencing factors for farmers to make decisions on cultivated land management scale in different family life cycles.In the context of the development of moderate-scale operation in China,it is necessary to conform to the de-velopment wishes of small farmers,it is necessary to explore the agricultural development path of different types of small-scale farmers accord-ing to local conditions,and encourage qualified farmers to carry out large-scale operation.关键词
家庭生命周期/耕地经营规模决策/OProbit模型/Probit模型Key words
Family life cycle/The decision-making of farmland management scale/OProbit model/Probit分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
李翠珍,褚鑫蕊,徐之寒,周德..家庭生命周期视角下的农户耕地经营规模决策分化研究[J].安徽农业科学,2025,53(10):253-258,6.基金项目
国家社会科学基金一般项目(21BGL295) （21BGL295）
浙江省软科学研究计划重点项目(2022C25044) （2022C25044）
浙江省属高校基本业务费专项资金资助(XT202310). （XT202310）
