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基于RF-LightGBM-LSTM的短期风向预测

吴倩 吴海列 孙勇

计算机应用与软件2025,Vol.42Issue(5):171-178,237,9.
计算机应用与软件2025,Vol.42Issue(5):171-178,237,9.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-386x.2025.05.024

基于RF-LightGBM-LSTM的短期风向预测

SHORT-TERM WIND DIRECTION PREDICTION METHOD BASED ON RF-LIGHTGBM-LSTM

吴倩 1吴海列 1孙勇1

作者信息

  • 1. 浙江运达风电股份有限公司 浙江 杭州 310012||浙江省风力发电技术重点实验室 浙江 杭州 310012
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Traditional wind mutation monitoring performs threshold judgment on the collected wind direction sequence,which cannot change the shutdown problem of the plant due to large wind direction changes.In response to this situation,an intelligent wind direction time series forecasting method is proposed.The actual operating data of the plant was used as the data set,and the random forest method was applied for feature engineering to solve the problem of too few features.The Sigmoid function was used to classify the sequence and the regression models were constructed based on LightGBM for prediction.Bayesian optimization was applied to tune model parameters and the model performance was optimized.LSTM algorithm was used to establish a residual prediction model for self-correction.The experimental results show that the combined self-correction model improves the prediction accuracy and is feasible.

关键词

随机森林/LightGBM/二分类/贝叶斯优化/LSTM

Key words

Random forest/LightGBM/Binary classification/Bayesian optimization/LSTM

分类

计算机与自动化

引用本文复制引用

吴倩,吴海列,孙勇..基于RF-LightGBM-LSTM的短期风向预测[J].计算机应用与软件,2025,42(5):171-178,237,9.

基金项目

浙江省重点研发计划项目(2021C01150). (2021C01150)

计算机应用与软件

OA北大核心

1000-386X

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