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人口发展新常态的"三农"影响及其应对

蔡昉

农业经济问题Issue(5):4-12,9.
农业经济问题Issue(5):4-12,9.

人口发展新常态的"三农"影响及其应对

How Population New Normal Impacts Works Related to Agriculture,Rural Areas,and Farmers

蔡昉1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国社会科学院,北京,100732
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The new normal of Chinese population and its impacts on economic and social develop-ment is also reflected in the works related to agriculture,rural areas,and farmers.This paper intends to reveal the resulting challenges,explain the relevant policy implications,and propose practical counter-measures.First,by analyzing the relationship between demographic transition and rural-related reforms and development,it shows that demographic dividend has been cashed on in the evolution of rural-urban relationship and the change in industrial structure.Second,by revealing the Chinese characteristics of demographic transition,notably growing old before getting rich in general,and the difference of the transition between rural and urban areas in particular,it shows that the pattern and trend of rural population are formed simultaneously by demographic transition,structural changes,and e-volution of rural-urban relationship.Lastly,by unfolding the policy implications of population character-istics to rural-related works,it proposes two suggestions.Firstly,it suggests transforming human resource development pattern from focusing quantity to focusing quality in order to build new quality productive forces and prevent diminishing return to investment.Secordly,it suggests transforming rural-related works pattern from inputting resources to building equal access to basic public services.

关键词

人口转变/"三农"/未富先老/人力资本/基本公共服务

Key words

Demographic transition/Rural-related works/Growing old before getting rich/Human capital/Basic public services

引用本文复制引用

蔡昉..人口发展新常态的"三农"影响及其应对[J].农业经济问题,2025,(5):4-12,9.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金专项项目"中国人口转变的独特性、经济影响及政策研究"(编号:72141310),国家社会科学基金重大项目"人口高质量发展的内涵与实现路径研究"(编号:23&ZD182) (编号:72141310)

农业经济问题

OA北大核心

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