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基于时空聚类的上海内涝积水时空分布规律

周正正 徐嘉言 刘曙光 万晖 孙丽 刘炎

水科学进展2025,Vol.36Issue(2):307-319,13.
水科学进展2025,Vol.36Issue(2):307-319,13.DOI:10.14042/j.cnki.32.1309.2025.02.012

基于时空聚类的上海内涝积水时空分布规律

Spatiotemporal distribution patterns of urban waterlogging in Shanghai based on spatiotemporal clustering analysis

周正正 1徐嘉言 2刘曙光 3万晖 4孙丽 4刘炎4

作者信息

  • 1. 同济大学土木工程学院,上海 200092||中国气象局上海城市气候变化应对重点开放实验室,上海 200030
  • 2. 同济大学土木工程学院,上海 200092
  • 3. 同济大学土木工程学院,上海 200092||同济大学土木工程防灾减灾全国重点实验室,上海 200092
  • 4. 上海市水旱灾害防御技术中心,上海 200050
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Under the combined influence of frequent rainstorm events and rapid urbanization,urban waterlogging has emerged as a critical challenge in contemporary urban development.Based on Shanghai waterlogging data from 2013 to 2023,this study investigates the seasonal variations,spatial distribution,and characteristics of typical rainstorm-induced waterlogging utilizing K-means clustering and probability density analysis.Results indicate significant seasonality,with peak occurrence in summer strongly synchronized with typhoon-related rainstorms.Road inundation constitutes the primary waterlogging type,exhibiting prominent spatial heterogeneity;notably,the central urban areas experience frequent inundation primarily due to limited drainage capacities and insufficient water retention spaces.Among the three waterlogging categories identified via K-means clustering,high-risk zones with deeper water depths are concentrated at the interface between Jiading Distract and central urban areas.Typical storm-related inundation events are characterized by rapid accumulation and recession("fast in and fast out"),with durations typically not exceeding 10 hours.It is recommended that the risk early-warning lead time be controlled within 40 minutes.These findings provide critical insights to support the refinement of urban waterlogging management and enhance emergency response capabilities.

关键词

城市内涝/K-means聚类/概率密度分析/时空分布/上海

Key words

urban waterlogging/K-means clustering/probability density analysis/spatiotemporal distribution/Shanghai

分类

水利科学

引用本文复制引用

周正正,徐嘉言,刘曙光,万晖,孙丽,刘炎..基于时空聚类的上海内涝积水时空分布规律[J].水科学进展,2025,36(2):307-319,13.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(42371030 ()

42271031) The study is financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42371030 ()

No.42271031). ()

水科学进展

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