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重症监护病房脓毒症患者临床表型识别与验证

龚超 余娜 陈浩然

协和医学杂志2025,Vol.16Issue(3):710-721,12.
协和医学杂志2025,Vol.16Issue(3):710-721,12.DOI:10.12290/xhyxzz.2024-0353

重症监护病房脓毒症患者临床表型识别与验证

Clinical Phenotype Identification and Validation of Patients with Sepsis in the Intensive Care Unit

龚超 1余娜 2陈浩然3

作者信息

  • 1. 中国医学院科学院北京协和医院急诊科,北京 100730||中国医学院科学院北京协和医院疑难重症及罕见病国家重点实验室,北京 100730
  • 2. 中国医学科学院北京协和医学院医学生物学研究所,昆明 650118
  • 3. 中国医学科学院北京协和医学院医学信息研究所,北京 100020
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Objective To identify and validate the clinical phenotypes of patients with sepsis in the in-tensive care unit(ICU).Methods We applied unsupervised machine learning algorithms(K-means clustering and hierarchical clustering)to identify the phenotypes of sepsis patients in the Medical Information Mart for In-tensive Care Ⅳ(MIMIC-Ⅳ)2.2 database,based on 89 clinical features including demographic characteris-tics,laboratory indicators and treatment measures on the first day in ICU.Then,supervised machine learning algorithms(lightweight gradient boosting machine)were used for the prediction of the patient's phenotypes,and were further combined with SHAP(Shapely Additive eXplanations)for the identification of important features.Finally,traditional statistical methods were used to validate the differences in clinical characteristics and clinical outcomes among the phenotypes.Results We identified three phenotypes in 22 517 sepsis patients.The phenotype 1 patients had the highest risk of death(28-day mortality of 46.4%),dominated by abnormal renal function and elevated disease severity scores,while the phenotype 3 patients had the lowest risk of death(28-day mortality of 11.2%),and the best neurological function score.Using interpretable machine learning,we identified six features(all the worst value on the first day)that showed good performance in phenotypic identification(AUC≥0.89)and phenotypic prognostic prediction(AUC≥0.74):anion gap,blood urea ni-trogen,creatinine,Glasgow Coma Scale score,prothrombin time,and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score.The mortality risk of phenotype 3 patients was the lowest at 28 days,60 days,90 days,and 1 year after ICU discharge(HR<1).Conclusion Using machine learning methods,we successfully identified three clinical phenotypes of sepsis patients with different clinical characteristics and prognosis and screened out six key clinical features,which are expected to play an important role in the phenotype classification and prognostic assessment of sepsis and are conducive to individualized treatment.

关键词

脓毒症/表型识别/机器学习/精准治疗

Key words

sepsis/phenotypic recognition/machine learning/precision medicine

分类

医药卫生

引用本文复制引用

龚超,余娜,陈浩然..重症监护病房脓毒症患者临床表型识别与验证[J].协和医学杂志,2025,16(3):710-721,12.

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