运筹与管理2025，Vol.34Issue(2)：174-181,8.DOI:10.12005/orms.2025.0059
企业金融化与债务违约:基于短贷长投视角
Enterprise Financialization and Debt Default:From Perspective of Short-term Loans for Long-term Investment
摘要
Abstract
As an important source of systemic financial risk,debt default is one of the most destructive events in the operational process of enterprises.It not only has a fatal impact on the development of enterprises themselves but also poses a serious threat to financial security and social stability.Due to the dual impact of global economic downturn pressure and the tightening business environment,the risk of default on China's real economy debt has significantly increased,becoming a focus of attention from all sectors of society.Debt default of 124.3 billion RMB occurred in China's credit bonds in 2018,rising to 147.6 billion RMB in 2019.In the past two years,many large enterprises have experienced frequent serious debt default events.Not only have defaults in the bond market increased,but the balance of non-performing loans from commercial banks has also continued to rise,from 1774.3 billion RMB in the first quarter of 2018 to 2982.9 billion RMB in the fourth quarter of 2022.With the gradual accumulation and exposure of debt default issues,the profit space of physical enterprises continues to shrink.It has become a common phenomenon for enterprises to invest their funds in financial assets to obtain short-term returns.However,excessive financialization behavior can have a serious negative impact on enterpri-ses,leading to a disruption in their capital flow and even exacerbating the risk of debt default. Short-term loans for long-term investment are the phenomenon of enterprises using short-term debt funds to support long-term investment activities,which is an important reason for corporate debt default.The"reservoir"effect and"crowding out"effect of corporate financialization will affect the short-term loans for long-term invest-ment behavior of enterprises,thereby affecting the risk of corporate debt default.It can be seen that the study of financial asset investment behavior under short-term loans for long-term investment strategy has significant impli-cations for the impact of corporate debt default risk.The research conclusion of this article provides not only new evidence for the moderate hypothesis of corporate financialization,but also guidance for enterprises to reasonably allocate financial assets and choose investment and financing strategies.It also provides empirical support for reg-ulatory agencies to effectively prevent"default waves"or even"bankruptcy waves"in the real economy,and maintain financial security and stability.Based on the above discussion,in this article,A-share listed companies from 2007 to 2021 are used as samples to conduct in-depth research on the overall level of corporate financializa-tion,the impact of short-term and long-term financial investments on debt default risk,and verify the transmis-sion mechanism of short-term loans and long-term investments in the above impact relationships. The results show that if the"reservoir"effect dominates,corporate financialization will inhibit the risk of debt default,and if the"crowding"effect dominates,corporate financialization will aggravate the risk of debt default,i.e.,the relationship between the two is U-shaped,which is largely due to long-term financial asset investment,as short-term financial asset investment mainly plays a"reservoir"effect and only suppresses the risk of debt default.The analysis of the impact mechanism finds that short-term loans for long-term investment play a mediating role in the relationship between corporate financialization and debt default,exacerbating the U-shaped impact of the two.This is mainly because short-term financial asset investment suppresses the risk of debt default by weakening the short-term loans for long-term investment,while excessive long-term financial asset investment aggravates the risk of debt default by increasing short-term loans for long-term investment.Furthermore,hetero-geneity studies have shown that among larger enterprises with weaker cash flow and higher financing constraints,corporate financialization,short-term financialization investments,and long-term financialization investments have a more significant impact on debt default risk.Based on the above conclusions,we put forward targeted policy recommendations from the level of real enterprises,government supervision and financial institutions,respectively,so as to provide empirical guidance for all parties to correctly recognize the dual impact of invest-ment in financial assets and effectively prevent systemic financial risks.关键词
企业金融化/债务违约/短贷长投/融资约束Key words
enterprise financialization/debt default/short-term loans for long-term investment/financing constraints分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
武永霞,胡海青,王先柱..企业金融化与债务违约:基于短贷长投视角[J].运筹与管理,2025,34(2):174-181,8.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目(72072144,71672144,71372173,70972053) （72072144,71672144,71372173,70972053）
陕西省创新能力支撑计划软科学研究计划重点项目(2019KRZ007) （2019KRZ007）
西安市科技局软科学研究计划重点项目(21RKYJ0009) （21RKYJ0009）
陕西省哲学社会科学研究专项(2022HZ1824,2023HZ1036) （2022HZ1824,2023HZ1036）
陕西省创新能力支撑计划软科学研究计划项目(2021KRM183) （2021KRM183）
