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首页|期刊导航|全科护理|基于Logistic回归和决策树法预测乳腺癌术后疼痛综合征的发生风险

基于Logistic回归和决策树法预测乳腺癌术后疼痛综合征的发生风险

金藤 曹磊 王玉秀

全科护理2025,Vol.23Issue(11):2012-2016,5.
全科护理2025,Vol.23Issue(11):2012-2016,5.DOI:10.12104/j.issn.1674-4748.2025.11.007

基于Logistic回归和决策树法预测乳腺癌术后疼痛综合征的发生风险

Prediction of the risk of postoperative pain syndrome after breast cancer surgery based on Logistic regression and decision tree method

金藤 1曹磊 1王玉秀1

作者信息

  • 1. 221100,徐州医科大学附属医院
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Objective:To analyze the risk factors of post-mastectomy pain syndrome(PMPS)and construct a risk prediction model.Methods:A total of 275 patients with breast cancer surgery admitted to the hospital from February 2021 to February 2024 were retrospectively selected as the research subjects.According to whether PMPS occurred after surgery,they were divided into PMPS group and non-PMPS group.The clinical data of the two groups of patients were collected.Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression were used to analyze the risk factors of PMPS.The decision tree method and the Logistic regression algorithm were used to construct its risk prediction model.The predictive value of the two models for PMPS was compared.Results:Among 275 breast cancer surgery patients,58 cases developed PMPS during the follow-up,with an incidence of 21.09%.Logistic regression analysis showed that diabetes,tumor location,preoperative anxiety and depression,axillary lymph node dissection,and postoperative chemoradiotherapy were risk factors for PMPS in breast cancer patients(P<0.05).The decision tree model was generated based on risk factors and selected four explanatory variables:tumor location,diabetes,preoperative anxiety and depression,and postoperative chemoradiotherapy,among which tumor location was the most important influencing factor for PMPS.The area under the curve(AUC)of the decision tree model was 0.773[95%CI(0.719,0.821)],which was greater than 0.705 of the Logistic regression model[95%CI(0.647,0.758)],P<0.05.Conclusions:Diabetes,tumor location(upper quadrant),preoperative anxiety and depression,axillary lymph node dissection,and postoperative chemoradiotherapy are risk factors for PMPS in breast cancer patients.The decision tree model constructed in this study has a significant advantage in predictive efficiency compared with the Logistic regression model.

关键词

Logistic回归/决策树法/乳腺癌/术后疼痛综合征/风险预测模型

Key words

Logistic regression/decision tree method/breast cancer/postoperative pain syndrome/risk prediction model

引用本文复制引用

金藤,曹磊,王玉秀..基于Logistic回归和决策树法预测乳腺癌术后疼痛综合征的发生风险[J].全科护理,2025,23(11):2012-2016,5.

全科护理

1674-4748

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