气象与环境学报2025，Vol.41Issue(2)：47-55,9.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1673-503X.2025.02.006
2016-2021年乌海市气象条件变化对呼吸系统疾病的影响研究
Study on the impact of changes in meteorological conditions on respiratory diseases in Wuhai city,2016-2021
摘要
Abstract
Daily respiratory disease consultation records and meteorological data from Wuhai City from 2016 to 2021 were analyzed to assess the influence of meteorological conditions on respiratory health.Spearman correlation analysis was used to identify temperature as a high-impact meteorological factor of respiratory diseases in the re-gion.Generalized additive models(GAMs)and distributional lag nonlinear models(DLNMs)were employed to estimate the attributable fractions(AFs)of temperature to the number of consultation scores(AFs)and to identify vulnerable population groups.The results showed that both low and high temperatures had an immediate effect on respiratory disease visits,with low temperatures having a more dominant and prolonged impact.The peak AF range for the total population was-10～7℃,accounting for 50.2%of total AFs.Sudden temperature changes during seasonal transitions were significantly associated with increased respiratory disease visits,and the diurnal tempera-ture range(DTR)of 8～16℃had a significant immediate effect.Females were found to be more sensitive to temperature fluctuations.关键词
气温/广义相加模型/分布滞后非线性模型/归因分值Key words
Air temperature/Generalized additive model/Distributional lag nonlinear model/Attributable fraction分类
大气科学引用本文复制引用
殷宁潞,李俊林,王式功..2016-2021年乌海市气象条件变化对呼吸系统疾病的影响研究[J].气象与环境学报,2025,41(2):47-55,9.基金项目
内蒙古自治区引导性创新基金项目(nmqxydcx202223)资助. （nmqxydcx202223）
