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中国人才链创新链产业链融合发展水平测度及其时空差异OA

Research on the Measurement of Development Level and Spatial-temporal Difference of the Integration of Talent Chains,Innovation Chains,and Industrial Chains in China

中文摘要英文摘要

[研究目的]人才链、创新链和产业链融合发展对于优化我国资源配置效率和实现经济高质量发展具有重要意义.但是,当前的研究对于"多链"的探究较少,"多链"融合发展评价体系的完整性和系统性有待完善;并且未能探究"三链"融合的发展水平、区域格局、动态演变过程.[研究方法]基于2010年到2022年我国除香港、澳门、台湾地区外的31个省(区、市)的面板数据,采用耦合协调模型对中国"三链"融合发展水平进行测算,运用核密度估计、泰尔指数和莫兰指数考察其演变规律、时空差异及空间相关性.[研究结论]通过研究得出三大结论:第一,"三链"融合发展水平总体呈波动上升趋势,但整体水平较低,提升空间较大;第二,区域间发展呈多极化特征,整体差异变化呈现U字形趋势,且区域间与区域内差异具有一定转化特性;第三,空间分布上呈现高度自相关关系,表现出空间俱乐部趋同现象.因此,应加强区域合作、促进产业升级、强化人才机制等,进一步推动"三链"融合发展.

[Research purpose]The synergy among talent chains,innovation chains,and industrial chains plays a crucial role in optimizing China's resource allocation efficiency and realizing high-quality economic development.However,current research has limited focus on the"multi-chains",leaving room for improvement in terms of their completeness and systemic nature,and more exploration is required regarding the development level,regional structure,and dynamic evolution process of the integration of"three chains".[Research method]Based on the panel data of China's 31 provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)except Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan from 2010 to 2022,this study uses a coupling coordination model to measure the development level of the"three chains"integration and employs kernel density estimation,Theil index,and Moran'I index to examine its evolution patterns,spatio-temporal differences,and spatial correlation.[Research conclusion]The results indicate that,firstly,the overall development level of"three chains"integration shows a fluctuating upward trend,but the overall level remains relatively low,with significant room for improvement;secondly,regional development exhibits a multipolarization pattern,with overall disparity showing a U-shaped trend and a certain conversion characteristics between inter-regional and intra-regional differences;thirdly,there is a high degree of spatial autocorrelation,demonstrating a phenomenon of spatial club convergence.Therefore,it is necessary to strengthen regional cooperation,promote industrial upgrading,and enhance the talent mechanism,promoting the integrated development of the"three chains".

吴凡;李明阳

广西大学公共管理学院,广西,南宁,530004广西大学公共管理学院,广西,南宁,530004

经济学

人才链创新链产业链融合"三链"空间演进区域差异泰尔指数

the integration of talent chainsinnovation chainsand industrial chains"three chains"spatial evolutionregional differencesThiel index

《科技智囊》 2025 (5)

28-37,10

国家社会科学基金西部项目"中国—东盟职业资格互认协同机制研究"(23XZZ006)广西哲学社会科学规划项目"广西高层次人才集聚长效机制研究"(20FGL050).

10.19881/j.cnki.1006-3676.2025.05.04

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