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多级洪涝灾害中上海市通勤时空结构韧性测度与优化研究

沈尧 徐子寒 冯韵洁

上海城市规划2025,Vol.181Issue(2):40-50,11.
上海城市规划2025,Vol.181Issue(2):40-50,11.DOI:10.11982/j.supr.20250206

多级洪涝灾害中上海市通勤时空结构韧性测度与优化研究

Resilience of Shanghai's Urban Spatiotemporal Structure under Varying Flood Scenarios

沈尧 1徐子寒 2冯韵洁2

作者信息

  • 1. 同济大学建筑与城市规划学院||同济大学中英联合城市科学实验室
  • 2. 同济大学建筑与城市规划学院
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Urban space and function are highly coupled,forming a complex spatiotemporal system that not only accommodates and responds to various urban challenges but also serves as a critical target for enhancing urban resilience and informing planning interventions.Understanding the resilience dynamics of real-world urban systems and their intricate socio-economic effects is fundamental to the development of resilient cities.This study integrates multi-source data,including mobile signalling,road networks,and housing prices,to construct a simulation framework for urban commuting spatiotemporal structures.It further assesses their dynamic resilience characteristics and spatial-social disparities under varying levels of flood scenarios.By identifying resilience bottlenecks,the study proposes targeted planning interventions and applies the framework to Shanghai to unveil regional resilience variations and diverse resilience typologies.The findings indicate that the resilience of urban commuting spatiotemporal structures exhibits multidimensional complexity,with disparities among social strata exceeding those related to gender and manifesting as uneven socio-spatial exclusion effects driven by risk distribution.Moreover,the mitigation of commuting efficiency bottlenecks demonstrates significant temporal sensitivity and spatial heterogeneity,enabling precise intervention targeting.The results validate the effectiveness of the proposed approach,elucidate the flood response mechanisms of Shanghai's commuting spatiotemporal resilience,and offer insights for resilience optimisation and refined urban planning.

关键词

韧性城市/时空大数据/洪涝灾害/复杂网络/社会公平/时空模拟

Key words

urban resilience/spatiotemporal big data/flood disasters/complex networks/social equity/spatiotemporal simulation

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

沈尧,徐子寒,冯韵洁..多级洪涝灾害中上海市通勤时空结构韧性测度与优化研究[J].上海城市规划,2025,181(2):40-50,11.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金面上项目"高频城市的网络韧性提升:精细化测度、关键要素识别与自适应优化研究"(编号52278074) (编号52278074)

上海市青年科技启明星人才计划项目"时空智能支持下的城市韧性精准评估、关键要素识别及自适应系统优化研究"(编号22QB1404800) (编号22QB1404800)

中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(编号22120240370)资助. (编号22120240370)

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