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某炼油企业碳排放核算及减排潜力分析

王敏 唐旭 姜钰卿 马美艳 李忻颖

低碳化学与化工2025,Vol.50Issue(6):81-88,120,9.
低碳化学与化工2025,Vol.50Issue(6):81-88,120,9.DOI:10.12434/j.issn.2097-2547.20240511

某炼油企业碳排放核算及减排潜力分析

Carbon emission accounting and reduction potential analysis of a refinery

王敏 1唐旭 2姜钰卿 3马美艳 4李忻颖1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国石油大学(北京)经济管理学院,北京 102249
  • 2. 中国石油大学(北京)经济管理学院,北京 102249||中国油气产业发展研究中心,北京 102249
  • 3. 中国石油大学(北京)经济管理学院,北京 102249||中国石油大学(北京)克拉玛依校区 工商管理学院,新疆 克拉玛依 834000
  • 4. 中国石油大学(北京)经济管理学院,北京 102249||中国石油集团经济技术研究院,北京 100724
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摘要

Abstract

The low-carbon transformation of the oil refining industry is crucial to achieving"carbon peaking and carbon neutrality"goal.A"fuel-based"refinery was taken as the research object,and the emission factor method and the material balance method were adopted to calculate its carbon emission in the base year,and the distribution characteristics of carbon emission sources were analyzed based on the accounting results.Furthermore,using the scenario analysis method,carbon emission trends under medium control(MC-CE)and deep control(DC-CE)scenarios were predicted,and the carbon reduction potential of eight mitigation measures under different scenarios was evaluated.The results show that the refinery's total carbon emission in the base year is 71.7683×104 t/a,with an average carbon emission factor(carbon emissions per unit of crude oil processed)of 0.2691 t/t.Fuel combustion and catalytic coking are identified as the primary sources of carbon emissions.Under the MC-CE scenario,carbon emissions in 2030 and 2040 are projected to decrease by 18.84%and 28.80%,respectively,compared to the base year.Under the DC-CE scenario,carbon emissions in 2030 and 2040 are expected to decline by 37.08%and 53.59%,respectively,compared to the base year.Based on the research findings,it is recommended that refineries accelerate energy-saving retrofits,actively introduce low-carbon technologies and vigorously promote the application of clean energy to facilitate the low-carbon transition.

关键词

炼油企业/碳排放/减排潜力/低碳转型

Key words

refinery/carbon emissions/emission reduction potential/low-carbon transition

分类

石油、天然气工程

引用本文复制引用

王敏,唐旭,姜钰卿,马美艳,李忻颖..某炼油企业碳排放核算及减排潜力分析[J].低碳化学与化工,2025,50(6):81-88,120,9.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金面上项目(72174206) (72174206)

新疆维吾尔自治区重大科技专项(2024A01001) (2024A01001)

中国石油大学(北京)科研基金(2462023YQTD002,2462023SZBH015,2462024BJRC014). (北京)

低碳化学与化工

OA北大核心

1001-9219

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