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物证鉴定范式发展(六):范式转换及实施路径

王桂强

刑事技术2025,Vol.50Issue(3):221-234,14.
刑事技术2025,Vol.50Issue(3):221-234,14.DOI:10.16467/j.1008-3650.2024.0033

物证鉴定范式发展(六):范式转换及实施路径

Forensic Paradigm Development.Part 6:Paradigm Shift and Implementation Path

王桂强1

作者信息

  • 1. 公安部鉴定中心,北京 100038
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The forensic science is undergoing a paradigm shift from the traditional paradigm to the features LR paradigm and the similarity scores LR paradigm,in an era of parallel three paradigms.Given the advantages and development opportunities brought by Bayesian LR paradigm,paradigm shift has become a major trend in forensic science in the global.However,paradigm shifts have not yet been fully realized on a global scale,and the development of the forensic paradigm is imbalance in various forensic discipline and in different countries and regions.The main reasons that hinder the paradigm shift of forensic science include limitation of the technology methods of new paradigm,misconceptions of some personnel about the new paradigms,insufficient abilities related the new paradigms,and legal application issues.Except for DNA evidence identification,the application of new paradigms and paradigm shift in China are relatively lagging behind.This article proposes an implementation path for the paradigm shift of forensic science in China,including scholars and practitioners conducting scientific research on new paradigms,regulatory authorities making paradigm shift strategies and plans,forensic lab developing and confirming LR methods,developing LR verbal scales,collecting data,training examiner and taking proficiency tests,decision-makers receiving relevant education,and legislators adjusting relevant regulations.

关键词

物证鉴定/贝叶斯/似然比范式/范式转换/实施路径

Key words

forensic science/Bayesian/likelihood ratio paradigm/paradigm shift/implementation path

分类

政治法律

引用本文复制引用

王桂强..物证鉴定范式发展(六):范式转换及实施路径[J].刑事技术,2025,50(3):221-234,14.

刑事技术

1008-3650

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