中国防汛抗旱2025，Vol.35Issue(6)：1-10,10.DOI:10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2025281
暴雨山洪模拟与预警模型研究进展与展望
Research progress and prospects of flash flood simulation and warning models
摘要
Abstract
Flash floods constitute the most fatal natural disasters in China,with their prevention representing the most critical deficiency in current flood risk management frameworks.Accurate simulation and scientific early warning are key to effectively reducing flash flood disaster losses.This paper systematically reviews the research progress in flash flood simulation and warning models,analyzing the current application status and development prospects of physical mechanism models such as hydrological models and hydrodynamic-sediment models,data-driven models such as machine learning,as well as warning modes including meteorological risk warning,critical rainfall warning,and water level(discharge)warning.In response to key challenges faced in flash flood simulation and warning research,including physics-data fusion,construction of refined warning systems,compound disaster chain warning,and global flash flood mega-models,this paper proposes future development directions for flash flood simulation and warning technologies.关键词
暴雨山洪/模拟预警/物理机理模型/机器学习/临界雨量Key words
flash floods/simulation and warning/physical mechanism models/machine learning/critical rainfall分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
刘荣华,王雪梅,刘晓婉,陈鹏帅,刘潇..暴雨山洪模拟与预警模型研究进展与展望[J].中国防汛抗旱,2025,35(6):1-10,10.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目(42271095) （42271095）
国家重点研发计划资助项目(2024YFC3082200). （2024YFC3082200）
