中国防汛抗旱2025，Vol.35Issue(6)：57-60,70,5.DOI:10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2024163
基于有无对比法的蒙洼蓄洪工程农业生产效益分析
Analysis of agricultural benefit analysis of Mengwa Flood Detention Project based on counterfactual method
摘要
Abstract
The Mengwa Flood Detention Project is an important component of the flood control system in the middle reaches of the Huai River,and is also one of the most frequently utilized flood detention areas in China.Its construction and operation have led to significant transformations in flood control pattern and agricultural productivity.A comprehensive overview of the Mengwa Flood Detention Project,operational conditions,and its 72-year operation history is presented.Literature records and empirical data are employed to evaluate the agricultural benefits of theMengwa Flood Detention Area during the period from 1952 to 2023 based on counterfactual method.Results indicate that a substantial reduction in the occurrence of flooding with the construction of the Mengwa Flood Detention Project.Over the 72-year period,the total harvest counts in agriculture increased from 72 times to 129 times.The cumulative harvested area expanded by 1 074 500 hm2,resulting in an additional 6 billion kilograms of grain production.The cumulative land use benefits escalated from 8.2 billion yuan to 22 billion yuan.Finally,the inspiration from the construction and operation of the Mengwa Flood Detention Project is summarized,in order to provide important reference value for the construction and management of flood detention areas in the Huai River and other river basins.关键词
蓄洪区/蒙洼蓄洪工程/农业生产效益/有无对比法Key words
flood detention area/Mengwa Flood Detention Project/agricultural benefit/counterfactual method分类
水利科学引用本文复制引用
程志远,徐迎春,周婷,王志涛..基于有无对比法的蒙洼蓄洪工程农业生产效益分析[J].中国防汛抗旱,2025,35(6):57-60,70,5.基金项目
"一带一路"水与可持续发展科技基金(U2022nkms04) （U2022nkms04）
安徽省自然科学基金(2308085US13). （2308085US13）
