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流动人口对乡镇经济发展影响的理论机理与实证检验

王文凯

重庆理工大学学报2025,Vol.39Issue(10):87-102,16.
重庆理工大学学报2025,Vol.39Issue(10):87-102,16.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1674-8425(s).2025.05.009

流动人口对乡镇经济发展影响的理论机理与实证检验

Theoretical mechanism and empirical evidence of the impact of floating population on economic development of township

王文凯1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国社会科学院 财经战略研究院,北京 100006
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The implementation of the strategy of rural revitalization is not only an inevitable requirement for the comprehensive construction of a modern socialist country,but also an important hand in realizing common prosperity.In this paper,we take the floating population destined for townships as the entry point for research,and use hand-collected data at the national township level to explore the relationship between the migrant population and the economic development of townships,so as to provide feasible path choices for realizing the revitalization of the countryside.Specifically,using the product of the share of floating population at the county level and the distance from the township to the county town as an instrumental variable for the share of the true floating population,the paper finds that:the higher the share of floating population,the higher the per capita economic income of the township,the share of township population,and the share of township area.This paper further excludes the competing hypotheses,and does the robustness test.The mechanism test finds that the floating population promotes economic development through the labor mechanism,entrepreneurship mechanism and consumption mechanism.To maximize the release of the"demographic dividend"associated with the floating population,this paper puts forward four policy recommendations:relaxing household registration restrictions in small towns,strengthening labor protection for the floating population,enhancing employment training targeted at the floating population,and exploring mechanisms for wage growth among the floating population.

关键词

流动人口/劳动力/乡镇经济/经济发展/乡村全面振兴

Key words

floating population/labor force/economy of village and town/economic development/rural revitalization

分类

经济学

引用本文复制引用

王文凯..流动人口对乡镇经济发展影响的理论机理与实证检验[J].重庆理工大学学报,2025,39(10):87-102,16.

基金项目

中国社会科学院学科建设"登峰战略"资助计划(DF2023ZD21) (DF2023ZD21)

重庆理工大学学报

OA北大核心

1674-8425

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