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超导电缆系统的系统动力学模型构建方法及其在安全状态动态评估中的应用

谢敬东 徐嘉文

南方电网技术2025,Vol.19Issue(5):111-119,9.
南方电网技术2025,Vol.19Issue(5):111-119,9.DOI:10.13648/j.cnki.issn1674-0629.2025.05.011

超导电缆系统的系统动力学模型构建方法及其在安全状态动态评估中的应用

Construction Method of System Dynamics Model for Superconducting Cable System and Its Application in Safety State Dynamic Evaluation

谢敬东 1徐嘉文2

作者信息

  • 1. 上海电力大学经济与管理学院,上海 200082
  • 2. 上海电力大学电气工程学院,上海 200082
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In order to assess the safety state of superconducting cables in real-time,this paper proposes a safety state evaluation method for superconducting cables based on system dynamics theory.Firstly,the key non electrical indicators that affect the safety state of the system are selected and a system dynamics flow chart for them is built;Secondly,health indicators related to equipment parameters are obtained and weights are assigned to them;Then,the relationship between equipment health index and failure prob-ability is obtained to conduct real-time safety state assessment of the equipment;Finally,the series system model is used to obtain the fault probability of the superconducting system,and the rationality of the proposed model and technical method is verified through simulation examples.The results show that the proposed method can evaluate the safety state of superconducting cable operation in real time.

关键词

超导电缆/系统动力学/安全状态评估

Key words

superconducting cable/system dynamics/safety state assessment

分类

动力与电气工程

引用本文复制引用

谢敬东,徐嘉文..超导电缆系统的系统动力学模型构建方法及其在安全状态动态评估中的应用[J].南方电网技术,2025,19(5):111-119,9.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(51507099).Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(51507099). (51507099)

南方电网技术

OA北大核心

1674-0629

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