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基于层次分析法的地下输水隧洞风险评估方法

李颜 鲁飞雄 曹海深 刘磊 席梓轩

水利信息化Issue(3):59-64,6.
水利信息化Issue(3):59-64,6.DOI:10.19364/j.1674-9405.2025.03.010

基于层次分析法的地下输水隧洞风险评估方法

Risk assessment method for underground water conveyance tunnels based on analytic hierarchy process

李颜 1鲁飞雄 2曹海深 3刘磊 3席梓轩4

作者信息

  • 1. 北京市水科学技术研究院,北京 100048||北京市水利工程管理中心环线管理处,北京 100176
  • 2. 北京市丰台区建筑行业管理处,北京 100161
  • 3. 北京市水利工程管理中心环线管理处,北京 100176
  • 4. 北京市水文总站,北京 100089
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

To ensure the sustainable operation of the East Main Canal Project,a supporting project in Beijing,for the South-to-North Water Diversion Middle Route Project,and to strengthen routine operation and maintenance of underground water conveyance tunnels,this study explored a risk assessment method for underground water conveyance tunnels of the East Main Canal Project.After scoring and evaluating geological,external,social,and managerial conditions,preliminary screening of risk factors was conducted to define the evaluation framework for various indicator levels.Drawing on the research and expert consultation,an evaluation index system of the East Main Canal Project—comprising the target layer,criterion layer,and indicator layer—was constructed,including 15 indicators that comprehensively reflected the operational status of the East Main Canal Project.The analytic hierarchy process was employed to calculate composite weights and quantify the risk evaluation.The results provide data support for water dispatching,tunnel inspection and maintenance,and regional coordination,offering practical reference for tunnel operation,maintenance,and emergency response planning by management authorities.

关键词

层次分析法/风险评估/地下输水隧洞/权重

Key words

analytic hierarchy process/risk assessment/underground water conveyance tunnel/weight

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

李颜,鲁飞雄,曹海深,刘磊,席梓轩..基于层次分析法的地下输水隧洞风险评估方法[J].水利信息化,2025,(3):59-64,6.

基金项目

北京水务青年科技骨干人才培养计划资助项目(BWAPT202401) (BWAPT202401)

水利信息化

1674-9405

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