电力系统自动化2025，Vol.49Issue(12)：140-152,13.DOI:10.7500/AEPS20241012004
风-光-抽蓄辅助服务市场容量交易随机演化博弈
Stochastic Evolutionary Game of Capacity Trading for Wind-Photovoltaic-Pumped Storage in Auxiliary Service Market
摘要
Abstract
To address the"dual dilemma"faced by power systems due to large-scale renewable energy expansion,where renewable energy accommodation becomes challenging during low-load periods and power supply guarantee during peak load periods,the wind farms,photovoltaic(PV)power stations,and pumped storage power stations are regarded as the subjects with the right to make independent decisions considering the passive status of pumped storage in joint operations with renewable energy and the limitations of wind-PV complementarity.Based on the stochastic evolutionary game theory,the strategy selection and dynamic decision-making process among wind farms,PV power stations and pumped storage power stations during the capacity trading in the auxiliary service market is studied.First,based on the market mechanism of capacity trading,the benefits of game players with various operation modes are analyzed,and the realistic situation of wind-PV-pumped storage participating in the capacity trading of auxiliary service market is deeply depicted.Then,to address the issues of uncertainty in the tripartite game among wind-PV-pumped storage,the Gaussian white noise is introduced to simulate the random disturbances in the evolution process,so as to build a tripartite stochastic evolutionary game model of wind-PV-pumped storage under uncertain conditions,and the equilibrium solution and stability of the model are analyzed to obtain the steady-state conditions.Finally,taking the actual data of a certain province in China in 2020 as a case,the evolution process of the strategic behavior for game subjects is simulated to demonstrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method.The results show that the choice of"cooperation"strategy for wind farms is the premise of the stability of the tripartite alliance,the PV power station is most prone to speculation in the transaction,and the operation strategy of pumped storage power stations is closely related to the capacity trading scale.关键词
辅助服务市场/电力市场/风-光-抽蓄/随机演化博弈/新能源消纳/稳定性Key words
auxiliary service market/electricity market/wind-photovoltaic-pumped storage/stochastic evolutionary game/renewable energy accommodation/stability引用本文复制引用
杨娴,蔡晔,曹一家,谭玉东..风-光-抽蓄辅助服务市场容量交易随机演化博弈[J].电力系统自动化,2025,49(12):140-152,13.基金项目
国家自然科学基金青年基金资助项目(52307081) （52307081）
湖南省科技创新"荷尖"计划资助项目(2024RC3163). This work is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52307081)and Science and Technology Innovation Program of Hunan Province,China(No.2024RC3163). （2024RC3163）
