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四川省能源消费碳排放影响因素作用效应研究

李乔楚 罗平亚 陈军华

国际石油经济2025,Vol.33Issue(6):67-79,13.
国际石油经济2025,Vol.33Issue(6):67-79,13.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1004-7298.2025.06.009

四川省能源消费碳排放影响因素作用效应研究

The effects of influencing factors of energy consumption and carbon emissions in Sichuan province:a dual perspective of new quality productivity forces and socio-technical transition

李乔楚 1罗平亚 2陈军华1

作者信息

  • 1. 西南石油大学经济管理学院
  • 2. 西南石油大学油气藏地质及开发工程全国重点实验室
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

This paper constructs a research framework from dual perspectives of new quality productivity and socio-technical system transition and empirically examines the impact of multiple factors on energy consumption-related carbon emissions in Sichuan Province by employing stochastic frontier analysis to measure regional science and technology innovation efficiency and incorporating two-way fixed effects with mediated effect models.The results demonstrate that though Sichuan Province shows an overall upward trend in science and technology innovation efficiency,significant regional disparities exist,science and technology innovation facilitates carbon emission reduction through advanced labor supply,exhibiting an inverted U-shaped relationship,with institutional measures demonstrating mediating effects,population growth exerts a positive simulative effect on regional energy consumption emissions,industrial structure positively influences carbon emissions,economic scale emerges as the primary driver of energy consumption emissions,urbanization progress positively stimulates carbon emissions,both energy consumption structure and intensity serve as core endogenous factors negatively inhibiting emissions,the impact of energy consumption intensity depends on the combined effects of economic decoupling,energy use entities,and energy efficiency technologies,and foreign investment exhibits a modest positive effect on carbon emissions.

关键词

新质生产力/社会技术系统转型/能源消费/碳排放/影响因素/创新效率

Key words

new quality productive forces/socio-technical system transition/energy consumption/carbon emission/influencing factors/innovation efficiency

分类

经济学

引用本文复制引用

李乔楚,罗平亚,陈军华..四川省能源消费碳排放影响因素作用效应研究[J].国际石油经济,2025,33(6):67-79,13.

基金项目

国家社会科学基金西部项目"'双碳'目标下我国城市群能源系统碳达峰预测及差异化减排路径研究"(22XGL019) (22XGL019)

国家社会科学基金重大项目"能源革命驱动下的天然气产业高质量发展路径研究"(22&ZD105) (22&ZD105)

四川省哲学社会科学重点研究基地学术研究专项资助项目"新质生产力赋能四川天然气产业高质量发展的作用机理及政策建议"(SC24E091) (SC24E091)

2024年成都市哲学社会科学规划项目"面向深度脱碳的成都新型能源体系构建研究"(2024BS072) (2024BS072)

国际石油经济

1004-7298

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