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北极航道研究进展回顾与展望

李蕴琳 赵鹏军 张梦竹 何张源

极地研究2025,Vol.37Issue(2):376-393,18.
极地研究2025,Vol.37Issue(2):376-393,18.DOI:10.13679/j.jdyj.20230051

北极航道研究进展回顾与展望

Review and prospect of research on Arctic shipping routes

李蕴琳 1赵鹏军 2张梦竹 1何张源1

作者信息

  • 1. 北京大学深圳研究生院城市规划与设计学院,广东 深圳 518055
  • 2. 北京大学深圳研究生院城市规划与设计学院,广东 深圳 518055||北京大学城市与环境学院,北京 100871
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In the context of global warming,the feasibility of opening the Arctic Passage is increasing,which has aroused widespread concern globally.However,existing systematic reviews of current research on Arctic shipping routes lack comprehensiveness.To compensate for this deficiency,this study systematically sorted relevant literature on the theme of the Arctic Passage in Scopus and Weipu(VIP),and performed biblio-metric analysis based on seven fields,including journal abstracts and keywords.Additionally,VOSviewer software was used for co-occurrence clustering and network structure analysis by keyword.Analysis re-vealed that current research on Arctic shipping routes focuses on assessing the feasibility of opening the shipping routes,the geopolitical impact of the shipping routes,the impact of the shipping routes on interna-tional trade and shipping networks,and the ecological environment impact of opening the shipping routes.There are four shortcomings of current research that require further exploration.First,there is insufficient research on models for accurate predictions regarding the opening of shipping routes.Second,systematic quantitative research is lacking on the impact of geopolitical risks and conflicts on the opening of shipping routes.Third,insufficient attention has been given to the construction of shipping infrastructure in Arctic shipping lanes.Fourth,in terms of the impact on the ecological environment of opening shipping routes,current research focuses mainly on predictions and calculations of carbon emissions,without comprehensive analysis of the impact of emissions on biological habitats.The findings of this study have substantial theo-retical value for further improving research on Arctic shipping routes.Moreover,the opening of Arctic shipping routes will have considerable impact on the economic development,geopolitical status,and eco-logical security of China and the world.This study has certain decision-making value regarding the formu-lation of China's Arctic shipping route strategy.

关键词

北极航道/海上丝绸之路/通航可行性/地缘政治/全球海运网络

Key words

Arctic shipping routes/Maritime Silk Road/feasibility of navigation/geopolitics/global ship-ping networks

引用本文复制引用

李蕴琳,赵鹏军,张梦竹,何张源..北极航道研究进展回顾与展望[J].极地研究,2025,37(2):376-393,18.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(42130402)资助 (42130402)

极地研究

OA北大核心

1007-7073

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