农业现代化研究2025，Vol.46Issue(3)：506-518,13.DOI:10.13872/j.1000-0275.2024.2069
"三变"改革对农户增收的影响及机制
The impact and mechanism of the"three changes"reform on farmers'income increase:an analysis based on prefecture-level panel data in China
摘要
Abstract
The reform and deepening of the rural collective property rights system play a crucial role in promoting rural household income growth and advancing the goal of common prosperity.This paper constructs a theoretical framework of"three changes"reform-factor allocation-rural household income.Using panel data from 220 prefecture-level cities in China from 2005 to 2021,the Synthetic Control Method(SCM)is employed to quantitatively assess the impact and effects of the"three changes"reform on rural household income.The Propensity Score Matching Difference-in-Differences(PSM-DID)model and the mediating effect model are applied to test the robustness of the results and analyze the underlying mechanisms.The key findings are as follows:1)The"three changes"reform has significantly increased the per capita disposable income of rural residents;2)It enhances rural household income by optimizing the allocation of land resources between regional characteristic industries and traditional industries,as well as by improving the allocation of capital factors among different agricultural business entities;3)The reform promotes income growth by influencing rural labor allocation and increasing wage-based earnings.Based on these findings,future efforts should focus on standardizing reform practices,refining the assessment of key implementation stages,and improving the evaluation of reform outcomes to ensure policy effectiveness.Additionally,advancing the establishment of service platforms for land,capital,and labor,optimizing the macro-level reform environment,and developing supporting mechanisms are essential to the successful implementation of the"three changes"reform.关键词
"三变"改革/农户增收/要素配置/合成控制法/共同富裕Key words
"three changes"reform/farmers'income increase/resource allocation/Synthetic Control Method/common prosperity分类
经济学引用本文复制引用
杨慧莲,桂浩,郑淋议,郑风田.."三变"改革对农户增收的影响及机制[J].农业现代化研究,2025,46(3):506-518,13.基金项目
国家社会科学基金重大项目(21ZDA059,21ZDA055).Supported by the National Social Science Foundation of China(21ZDA059,21ZDA055). （21ZDA059,21ZDA055）
