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基于跳跃连接策略和TCN-BiLSTM的光伏功率预测

王俊 欧阳福莲 周杭霞

计算机应用与软件2025,Vol.42Issue(6):119-126,185,9.
计算机应用与软件2025,Vol.42Issue(6):119-126,185,9.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-386x.2025.06.016

基于跳跃连接策略和TCN-BiLSTM的光伏功率预测

PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER FORECASTING METHOD BASED ON SKIP CONNECTION STRATEGY COMBINED WITH TCN-BILSTM

王俊 1欧阳福莲 1周杭霞1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国计量大学 浙江 杭州 310018
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Aimed at the problems of short-term nonlinearity of data and insufficient long-term periodicity capture in the process of photovoltaic power prediction,a photovoltaic power prediction method based on skip connection strategy and TCN-BiLSTM model is proposed.Similar samples were found through the grey correlation degree to form the prediction data set of the day.Temporal convolutional network(TCN)was used to extract local features to maintain the time series of features.The bi-directional long short-term memory(BiLSTM)network using the skip connection strategy was used to learn the long-term and short-term sequence features and combine the attention mechanism to adaptively focus on more important historical states.The experimental results based on actual power station data show that this method can effectively predict photovoltaic power generation,and has smaller prediction error and higher robustness than the general model.

关键词

跳跃连接/时间卷积网络/长短期记忆/注意力机制/光伏功率预测

Key words

Skip connection/TCN/LSTM/Attention mechanism/PV power forecast

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

王俊,欧阳福莲,周杭霞..基于跳跃连接策略和TCN-BiLSTM的光伏功率预测[J].计算机应用与软件,2025,42(6):119-126,185,9.

基金项目

浙江省公益技术应用研究项目(LGG22E070003). (LGG22E070003)

计算机应用与软件

OA北大核心

1000-386X

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