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基于域适应物理信息神经网络的时间序列预测方法

曹力丰 阎高伟 肖舒怡 董珍柱 董平

自动化学报2025,Vol.51Issue(6):1329-1346,18.
自动化学报2025,Vol.51Issue(6):1329-1346,18.DOI:10.16383/j.aas.c240566

基于域适应物理信息神经网络的时间序列预测方法

Time Series Prediction Method Based on Domain Adaptation Physics-informed Neural Network

曹力丰 1阎高伟 1肖舒怡 1董珍柱 2董平2

作者信息

  • 1. 太原理工大学电气与动力工程学院 太原 030024
  • 2. 山西华光发电有限责任公司 太原 033300
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Machine learning-based prediction methods usually achieve high fitting accuracy,but often suffer from limited model interpretability and poor generalization performance.In industrial processes,the stability of these methods is affected by the concept drift phenomenon,which makes accurate modeling in complex industrial environ-ments a difficult and challenging task.To this end,we propose a domain adaptation physics-informed neural net-work method based on linear dynamical operator.A linear dynamical operator neural network model is built from the historical data,capturing dynamic properties of multivariate time series data.Then the mechanism model is dis-cretized by the forward Euler method to construct the physical information regularization term,so that the model obeys the constraints of the mechanism.Finally,the distribution of hidden layer state variables under historical and current operating conditions is aligned by the maximum mean discrepancy,and the domain adaptation loss is con-structed to reduce the impact of data distribution changes on the model under variable operating conditions.Exper-iments on several datasets show that the proposed method can effectively improve the model prediction accuracy and generalization performance.

关键词

物理信息机器学习/概念漂移/域适应/线性动力算子神经网络

Key words

Physics-informed machine learning/concept drift/domain adaptation/linear dynamical operator neur-al network

引用本文复制引用

曹力丰,阎高伟,肖舒怡,董珍柱,董平..基于域适应物理信息神经网络的时间序列预测方法[J].自动化学报,2025,51(6):1329-1346,18.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(61973226),山西省科技重大专项(202201090301013),山西省自然科学青年基金(202203021222101),格盟集团科技创新基金(2023-05),山西省研究生科研创新项目(2024KY268)资助Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(61973226),Shanxi Province Major Special Program of Science and Technology(202201090301013),Shanxi Province Science Foundation for Youths(202203021222101),Gemeng Group Tech-nology Innovation Fund Project(2023-05),and Shanxi Province Graduate Research Innovation Project(2024KY268) (61973226)

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