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岩土工程协同式风险评估方法

肖特 李典庆 周创兵

岩土工程学报2025,Vol.47Issue(7):1335-1343,9.
岩土工程学报2025,Vol.47Issue(7):1335-1343,9.DOI:10.11779/CJGE20240581

岩土工程协同式风险评估方法

Collaborative risk assessment approach in geotechnical engineering

肖特 1李典庆 2周创兵3

作者信息

  • 1. 武汉大学水资源工程与调度全国重点实验室,湖北 武汉 430072||武汉大学水利水电学院工程风险与防灾研究所,湖北 武汉 430072||上海交通大学船舶海洋与建筑工程学院,上海 200240
  • 2. 武汉大学水资源工程与调度全国重点实验室,湖北 武汉 430072||武汉大学水利水电学院工程风险与防灾研究所,湖北 武汉 430072
  • 3. 南昌大学工程建设学院,江西 南昌 330031
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The spatial variability is an inherent property of geo-materials,posing significant challenges to geotechnical reliability analysis and risk assessment.Within the framework of random finite element method,a collaborative risk assessment approach is proposed to integrate the advantages of multiple models in terms of efficiency and accuracy.By establishing an inherent connection between simple and complex models through the sample space of stochastic simulation,the proposed approach flexibly handles the complex spatial variability of geo-materials and achieves both efficient and accurate risk assessment.The effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated through three typical geotechnical examples of excavation,shallow foundation and slope.Its computational efficiency is improved by several orders of magnitude compared to that of the conventional random simulation methods,providing a practical tool for quantitative risk assessment in complex engineering projects.The three-dimensional spatial variability significantly affects the failure modes,reliability and risk of geotechnical structures.The collaborative risk assessment approach can appropriately consider these effects and greatly facilitate the application of random finite element method in practice.The multi-model collaboration strategy can be extended to various stochastic problems with well-defined objectives,such as the Bayesian updating and optimization.

关键词

岩土工程/空间变异性/可靠性分析/风险评估/多模型协同

Key words

geotechnical engineering/spatial variability/reliability analysis/risk assessment/multi-model collaboration

分类

土木建筑

引用本文复制引用

肖特,李典庆,周创兵..岩土工程协同式风险评估方法[J].岩土工程学报,2025,47(7):1335-1343,9.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(U2240211)This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.U2240211). (U2240211)

岩土工程学报

OA北大核心

1000-4548

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