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中国农业新质生产力发展水平测度与评价

周玉玺 高瑞敏

中国农业大学学报2025,Vol.30Issue(7):246-263,18.
中国农业大学学报2025,Vol.30Issue(7):246-263,18.DOI:10.11841/j.issn.1007-4333.2025.07.21

中国农业新质生产力发展水平测度与评价

Measurement and evaluation of the development level of new-quality agricultural productivity in China

周玉玺 1高瑞敏1

作者信息

  • 1. 山东农业大学经济管理学院,山东泰安 271018
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The study aims to explore the overview of the development of new-quality agricultural productivity in China.Theoretically,based on the theory of industrial capital circulation,this study clarifies the logical development of new-quality productivity in agriculture,and empirically,an evaluation index system for new-quality agricultural productivity is constructed from four aspects including new-quality agricultural laborers,new-quality agricultural labor objects,new-quality agricultural means of labor,and leapfrogging through optimized combinations.A combined model of game theory-based combined weighting and TOPSIS-VIKOR is adopted to measure the development levels of new-quality productivity in agriculture across 30 provinces in China from 2012 to 2022(The data do not include those of Xizang,Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan regions,the same below).The Dagum Gini coefficient,Kernel density estimation and Moran's I index are utilized to analyze the regional disparities and spatio-temporal evolution characteristics.The findings reveal that:During the study period,China's new-quality agricultural productivity level increased annually but remained relatively low,and there were notable disparities across the four major economic zones and three major grain production functional areas.The indices across dimensions rank from high to low as follows:new-quality agricultural means of labor>new-quality agricultural laborers>new-quality agricultural labor objects>leapfrogging through optimized combinations.The overall difference in new-quality agricultural productivity levels fluctuated and declined,and the inter-regional disparities were the primary source of overall disparities.Among most provinces within each region,the absolute difference in new-quality agricultural productivity levels increased,but the polarization phenomenon weakened.There is a spatial positive correlation in the development level of new-quality agricultural productivity,and the most significant correlation is observed in major grain-producing areas.

关键词

农业新质生产力/发展逻辑/发展水平/区域差异/时空演化

Key words

new-quality agricultural productivity/development logic/development level/regional disparities/spatiotemporal evolution

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

周玉玺,高瑞敏..中国农业新质生产力发展水平测度与评价[J].中国农业大学学报,2025,30(7):246-263,18.

基金项目

国家社会科学基金一般项目(21BJY130,19BGJ171) (21BJY130,19BGJ171)

中国工程科技发展战略山东研究院咨询研究项目(2023SDZD0201) (2023SDZD0201)

泰安市社会科学基金重大项目(24ZZ004) (24ZZ004)

中国农业大学学报

OA北大核心

1007-4333

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