现代农业2025，Vol.50Issue(2)：56-68,13.
农村人口老龄化对农业农村现代化的影响研究
The Impact of Rural Population Aging on Agricultural and Rural Modernization
摘要
Abstract
In the new stage of promoting Chinese modernization,the impact of rural population aging on agricultural and rural modernization has become an important issue.Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China(excluding Tibet Autonomous Region,Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan)from 2007 to 2022,this paper constructed an evaluation index system for agricultural and rural modernization from three dimensions:agricultural modernization,rural modernization and farmer modernization,and used the entropy method to measure the development level of agricultural and rural modernization,and empirically examined the impact and internal mechanism of rural population aging on agricultural and rural modernization.The results showed that:rural population aging had a significant positive effect on agricultural and rural modernization,and the conclusion was still valid after a series of robustness tests;rural population aging indirectly promoted agricultural and rural modernization through the transfer of farmland.Additionally,from the three dimensions of agricultural and rural modernization,there was regional heterogeneity in the impact of rural population aging,the rural population aging had the strongest impact on agricultural and rural modernization in major grain-producing regions,whereas its impact was less significant in the production-marketing balance regions and the main marketing regions.Further research found that,the promoting effect of rural population aging on agricultural and rural modernization was further strengthened with the advancement of agricultural and rural modernization level,but it showed a downward trend with the improvement of farmer modernization level.In the future,it is necessary to enhance farmer modernization level to address aging-related challenges;this can be achieved by guiding the orderly farmland transfer,integrating land resources and promoting appropriate agricultural scale operation;based on regional resource endowments,measures should be tailored to local conditions to precisely facilitate the steady development of agricultural and rural modernization.关键词
农村人口老龄化/农业农村现代化/农地流转Key words
rural population aging/agricultural and rural modernization/farmland transfer分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
孙培蕾,尚莉婷,王培..农村人口老龄化对农业农村现代化的影响研究[J].现代农业,2025,50(2):56-68,13.基金项目
国家社会科学基金一般项目"数字农业赋能农业绿色转型的效应、机制与政策优化研究"(22BGL165). （22BGL165）
