国际论坛2025,Vol.27Issue(4):63-83,21.DOI:10.13549/j.cnki.cn11-3959/d.2025.04.004
幼发拉底河—底格里斯河流域水资源争端的多重博弈(1960-2024年)
Multiple Games in Water Resources Disputes in the Euphrates-Tigris River Basin(1960-2024)
摘要
Abstract
The water resource disputes within the Euphrates-Tigris River Basin manifest as a complex,multi-layered game structure intricately interwoven across international,domestic and non-state actor dimensions.At the international stratum,Türkiye strategically leverages water resources as an instrument to augment its regional influence.In response,the downstream countries,namely Syria and Iraq,have formulated and implemented differentiated water diplomacy strategies,each tailored to counter Türkiye's water hegemony.Domestically,all three nations grapple with governance quandaries,as water resources are inextricably linked to political dynamics,ethnic relations and economic development trajectories.Specifically,Türkiye has effectively transformed the Southeastern Anatolia Project(GAP)into a strategic apparatus to address the Kurdish issue;Syria has historically utilized water resource policies as a political means to reinforce regime legitimacy and facilitate ethnic assimilation;and Iraq confronts the dual challenges of a central government with limited governance capacity and power imbalances in the Kurdistan region.At the non-state actors level,the active participation of agricultural tribes,anti-government armed groups,and terrorist organizations has significantly escalated the complexity of the water resources game,thereby exacerbating the risks to regional water security.To attain sustainable water security in the Euphrates—Tigris River Basin,it is imperative to establish a legally binding basin-wide treaty,promote adaptive reforms to national water governance systems,and construct a multi-tiered joint counter-terrorism mechanism.These initiatives collectively aim to build a comprehensive governance framework that integrates international coordination mechanisms,domestic political reforms,and the regulation of non-state actors.关键词
幼发拉底河—底格里斯河/水资源争端/国际博弈/国内博弈/非国家行为体Key words
Euphrates-Tigris River Basin/water resources dispute/international game/domestic game/non-state actors分类
社会科学引用本文复制引用
苏楚婷..幼发拉底河—底格里斯河流域水资源争端的多重博弈(1960-2024年)[J].国际论坛,2025,27(4):63-83,21.基金项目
本文系2024年国家社科基金项目"中东水资源争端中美国的介入机制、影响及启示研究"(项目批准号24CGJ047)的阶段性成果. (项目批准号24CGJ047)