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农业新质生产力:水平测度、区域差异及时空演进

王聪聪 问乔伊 王俊芹

统计与决策2025,Vol.41Issue(12):11-17,7.
统计与决策2025,Vol.41Issue(12):11-17,7.DOI:10.13546/j.cnki.tjyjc.2025.12.002

农业新质生产力:水平测度、区域差异及时空演进

Agricultural New Quality Productivity:Level Measurement,Regional Differences and Spatiotemporal Evolution

王聪聪 1问乔伊 1王俊芹2

作者信息

  • 1. 河北农业大学经济管理学院,河北 保定 071000
  • 2. 河北农业大学经济管理学院,河北 保定 071000||河北农业大学乡村振兴战略研究中心,河北 保定 071000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Cultivating and developing agricultural new quality productivity is an inevitable requirement for promoting high-quality agricultural development and constructing a strong agricultural country.This paper constructs an evaluation index system for agricultural new quality productivity level from five dimensions:new types of agricultural laborers,new types of agricul-tural labor materials,new types of agricultural labor objects,new types of agricultural production methods,and new types of agri-cultural organizational forms,then uses the entropy weight-TOPSIS method to measure the agricultural new quality productivity level,and finally employs the obstacle factor diagnosis model,Dagum Gini coefficient and its decomposition method,Kernel densi-ty estimation,and Moran's index to explore the obstacles,regional differences,and spatiotemporal differentiation characteristics of the development of agricultural new quality productivity.The findings are shown as the following:(1)The level of agricultural new quality productivity in China is steadily increasing,and new agricultural labor materials are the key to promoting improvement.At the regional level,the level of agricultural new quality productivity shows a distribution pattern of"eastern region>central re-gion>northeastern region>western region".The development level of e-commerce agriculture,the number of intelligent agricul-tural aircraft,and the per capita number of demonstration family farms are the main restricting factors for the current stage of de-velopment.(2)The relative differences between regions are gradually narrowing,with inter-regional differences being the main source,especially the largest differences between the eastern and northeastern regions.Compared with other regions,the differenc-es within the eastern region are more pronounced.(3)The absolute regional differences continue to expand,showing a non-equi-librium development characteristic of"the better,the better".The spatial positive correlation is significant,presenting a spatial distribution pattern dominated by"low-low"agglomeration.

关键词

农业新质生产力/障碍因子识别/区域差异/Kernel密度估计

Key words

new quality productivity of agriculture/obstacle factor recognition/regional differences/Kernel density estima-tion

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

王聪聪,问乔伊,王俊芹..农业新质生产力:水平测度、区域差异及时空演进[J].统计与决策,2025,41(12):11-17,7.

基金项目

国家社会科学基金一般项目(20BJY115) (20BJY115)

河北省教育厅人文社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目(ZD202322) (ZD202322)

河北省在读研究生创新能力培养资助项目(CXZZBS2024087) (CXZZBS2024087)

统计与决策

OA北大核心

1002-6487

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