信阳师范大学学报（自然科学版）2025，Vol.38Issue(3)：257-264,8.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.2097-583X.2025.03.002
基于系统耦合模拟的土地利用变化及其区域生境质量变化分析
Response of regional habitat quality to predicted land use change based on system coupling simulation
摘要
Abstract
A framework for simulating and analyzing the impact of mult-scenario land use changes on regional habitat quality from a human-natural system coupling perspective was constructed.Using Hubei province as a case study,the interaction between socio-economic development,climate change,land use change,and their combined effects on habitat quality were analyzed.The findings showed that,from 2015 to 2050,the construction land in Hubei province would increase significantly.The impact of socio-economic development on land use change was more substantial than that of climate change.It is predicted that,habitat quality in Hubei province would decline by at least 5%in 2050,mainly in central and eastern regions where habitat quality was low.The effects of economic development and temperature change on habitat quality were more pronounced than those of population growth and precipitation change.The rapid growth of the economy and population was the primary driver of land use change,which significantly and negatively affected regional habitat quality.Additionally,increasing temperatures would elevate the risk of habitat degradation,while moderate precipitation increase would contribute to the enhancement of habitat quality.关键词
生境质量/土地利用变化/系统耦合/多情景模拟/湖北Key words
habitat quality/land use change/system coupling/multiple scenario simulation/Hubei分类
数理科学引用本文复制引用
刘殿锋,王振松,邱明丽..基于系统耦合模拟的土地利用变化及其区域生境质量变化分析[J].信阳师范大学学报（自然科学版）,2025,38(3):257-264,8.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(41771429) （41771429）
