电力建设2025，Vol.46Issue(7)：27-41,15.DOI:10.12204/j.issn.1000-7229.2025.07.003
计及不确定性风险与电能贡献度的多虚拟电厂协同优化策略
Collaborative Optimization Strategy for Multiple Virtual Power Plants Considering Uncertainty Risk and Energy Contribution
摘要
Abstract
[Objective]In the context of high renewable energy penetration,the collaborative operation of multiple virtual power plants(VPPs)faces dual challenges:uncertainty risks and conflicts in benefit distribution.This study proposes a collaborative optimization strategy for multiple VPPs that integrates risk quantification with hybrid game theory by combining conditional value-at-risk(CVaR)and a multi-agent game framework.This approach provides a new perspective for collaborative VPP optimization in scenarios with high renewable energy integration.[Methods]First,a scenario analysis method combining Latin hypercube sampling(LHS)and Manhattan probability distance was designed to address the uncertainties in wind and solar output as well as electricity prices.CVaR was adopted to measure the impact of these uncertainty risks.Second,a Stackelberg game framework was constructed between the distribution system operator(DSO)and the VPP alliance,where the VPP alliance,based on cooperative game theory,established an asymmetric Nash bargaining model incorporating energy contributions.The model was then decomposed into two subproblems:maximizing alliance benefits and distributing cooperative benefits.Finally,the hybrid game model was solved using a combination of the bisection method and the alternating direction method of multipliers(ADMM).[Results]Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed coordinated optimization strategy for VPPs effectively enhances the operational economy of the VPP alliance and improves operational reliability and security under uncertainty.[Conclusions]The proposed strategy increased the flexibility of coordinated operations among multiple VPPs.By incorporating CVaR for risk quantification and multi-agent game theory,the strategy not only enhances overall system benefits but also ensures a fair distribution of cooperative gains.Moreover,VPPs can balance the risk-benefit trade-off based on their risk aversion coefficients,providing a valuable reference for rational dispatch decision-making.关键词
虚拟电厂(VPP)/混合博弈/条件风险价值(CVaR)/非对称纳什议价Key words
virtual power plant(VPP)/hybrid game theory/conditional value-at-risk(CVaR)/asymmetric Nash bargaining分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
汤晨阳,王磊,江伟建..计及不确定性风险与电能贡献度的多虚拟电厂协同优化策略[J].电力建设,2025,46(7):27-41,15.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(61873159) This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.61873159). （61873159）
