中国农业资源与区划2025,Vol.46Issue(4):13-26,14.DOI:10.7621/cjarrp.1005-9121.20250402
风险认知、个人信念与种粮大户气象灾害适应行为
RISK PERCEPTIONS AND PERSONAL BELIEFS ON CLIMATE ADAPTATION BEHAVIOR OF LARGE GRAIN FARMERS
摘要
Abstract
This study aims to promote the adoption of adaptive practices by large grain growers in response to climate disasters and to provide recommendations for food security policies.Using the survey data from 870 large grain farmers,and based on the'knowledge-belief-action'theoretical model,the Oprobit model was used to analyze the impact mechanism of risk perception and personal beliefs on the adaptive behavior of large grain growers in response to climate disasters in China.The results showed that risk perception and personal beliefs positively affected the adoption of adaptive behavior by large grain growers in response to climate disasters.Personal beliefs played a partially mediating role.Risk preference and psychological resilience negatively regulated the effect of risk perception on the adoption of adaptive behavior by large grain growers in response to climate disasters.Under the condition of good health levels,the risk perception and personal beliefs of large grain farmers significantly affected the adoption of adaptive behavior in response to climate disasters.Personal beliefs had a more significant effect on the adoption of adaptive behavior by large grain growers in response to climate disasters when they had better relationships with surrounding villagers and participate more in collective activities in the village.Therefore,to promote the adoption of meteorological disaster adaptation behaviors by large-scale grain growersm,it should enhance the awareness of climate disaster risk prevention among large grain farmers by strengthening information services,increase the self-efficacy of large grain farmers in coping with weather disasters by improving their beliefs,and correct their psychological biases.关键词
适应性行为/风险认知/个人信念/"知—信—行"模型/OprobitKey words
adaptive behavior/risk perception/personal beliefs/'knowledge-belief-action'model/Oprobit分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
蔡莹枢,张滨,邹晓娟,李辉婕..风险认知、个人信念与种粮大户气象灾害适应行为[J].中国农业资源与区划,2025,46(4):13-26,14.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目"风险感知、情境差距与农户极端气温灾害适应性行为——基于鄱阳湖区种粮大户的调查"(71963020) (71963020)
江西省2022年度研究生创新专项资金项目省级课题"江西省种粮大户感知价值对其气象灾害适应性行为采纳的影响研究——基于政府规制、个人规范的有调节的中介效应分析"(YC2022-s400) (YC2022-s400)
江西省"稻稻油"农业科技项目(JXNK202302-02) (JXNK202302-02)