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Periodformer——基于时间序列分解的能耗预测模型

陈波文 邓健 朱乾鎏

控制与信息技术Issue(3):54-60,7.
控制与信息技术Issue(3):54-60,7.DOI:10.13889/j.issn.2096-5427.2025.03.007

Periodformer——基于时间序列分解的能耗预测模型

Periodformer:An Energy Consumption Prediction Model Based on Decomposition of Time Series

陈波文 1邓健 1朱乾鎏2

作者信息

  • 1. 株洲中车时代电气股份有限公司,湖南 株洲 412001
  • 2. 中车株洲电力机车研究所有限公司,湖南 株洲 412001
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In recent years,deep learning technology has demonstrated remarkable potential across various prediction tasks.However,existing deep learning models still fall short in fully exploiting the periodicity,trends,and residual characteristics inherent in energy consumption data.To address these deficiencies,this paper proposes a novel prediction model called Periodformer.The model begins by decomposing time series into three components:trend,period,and residual.Each component is modeled separately,and the prediction results from these models are then integrated,leading to significantly improved prediction accuracy.Experimental results showed that Periodformer achieved reductions in both Mean Absolute Error(MAE)and Mean Squared Error(MSE)of 5.56%and 11.85%,respectively,compared to the existing Transformer model,while exhibiting strong robustness against data noise.

关键词

列车能耗预测/时间序列分解/Transformer/Periodformer/深度学习模型

Key words

train energy consumption prediction/time series decomposition/Transformer/Periodformer/deep learning models

分类

交通工程

引用本文复制引用

陈波文,邓健,朱乾鎏..Periodformer——基于时间序列分解的能耗预测模型[J].控制与信息技术,2025,(3):54-60,7.

基金项目

中国国家铁路集团有限公司科技研究开发计划项目(N2024J032-B(JB)) (N2024J032-B(JB)

控制与信息技术

2096-5427

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