安全与环境工程2025，Vol.32Issue(4)：78-85,8.DOI:10.13578/j.cnki.issn.1671-1556.20240213
基于FTA-FAHP的风力发电机组火灾事故致因分析
Causal analysis of wind turbine fire accidents based on FTA-FAHP
摘要
Abstract
In response to the frequent occurrence of wind turbine fire accidents,this study first analyzed 81 global wind turbine fire incident cases from the past two decades through a statistical approach based on the human-machine-environment-management(HMEM)framework.This analysis identified 22 influencing factors of wind turbine fires.Subsequently,through deductive reasoning using fault tree analysis(FTA),the logical relationships among basic events leading to wind turbine fires were established,with qualitative cause analysis conducted via structural importance degree.The basic events from the FTA were then categorized into four dimensions,i.e.human,machine,environment and management,to construct a causal evaluation index system for wind turbine fires.Using the structural importance coefficient order as the basis for assigning values in the fuzzy matrix,a judgment matrix was developed via the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process(FAHP)to perform quantitative cause analysis.Finally,targeted countermeasures for wind turbine fire prevention were proposed based on comprehensive analysis.The results indicate that unsafe factors in machine and the environment serve as the primary causes of fire accidents,with electrical equipment failures and lightning strikes identified as the most critical contributing factors.This research provides a theoretical foundation for fire prevention and control in wind turbines.关键词
风力发电机组火灾/事故致因分析/人-机-环-管/事故树分析(FTA)/模糊层次分析法(FAHP)Key words
wind turbine fire/accident causal analysis/human-machine-environment-management/fault tree analysis(FTA)/fuzzy analytic hierarchy process(FAHP)分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
梅志恒,陆凯华,商溪林..基于FTA-FAHP的风力发电机组火灾事故致因分析[J].安全与环境工程,2025,32(4):78-85,8.基金项目
国家自然科学基金面上项目(52376133) （52376133）
