火力与指挥控制2025，Vol.50Issue(6)：1-12,12.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-0640.2025.06.001
弹道导弹目标主动段跟踪与预报技术综述
Overview of Boost-phase Tracking and Prediction for Ballistic Missile Targets
摘要
Abstract
Boost-phase interception is the first barrier in a multi-layer anti-missile defense system.High precision ballistic missile tracking and prediction are important prerequisites and foundations for successful boost-phase interception.The main purpose of boost-phase tracking and prediction is to output the estimated motion state values and related ballistic parameters of the target missile in the current and future time.The research status and development trends of ballistic missiles are reviewed from two aspects of boost-phase real-time tracking and trajectory prediction.Firstly,the boost-phase motion modeling and state estimation methods involved in boost-phase tracking are reviewed.Then,the trajectory prediction of ballistic missiles is summarized and classified into three categories of methods:orbital analysis,numerical integration,and function approximation,and the characteristics of each category of method are analyzed.Finally,the development direction of technology in this field is summarized and prospected.关键词
弹道导弹/主动段防御/目标跟踪/轨迹预报Key words
ballistic missiles/boost-phase defense/target tracking/trajectory prediction分类
航空航天引用本文复制引用
吉瑞萍,梁彦..弹道导弹目标主动段跟踪与预报技术综述[J].火力与指挥控制,2025,50(6):1-12,12.基金项目
陕西省自然科学基础研究计划(2025JCYBQN-903) （2025JCYBQN-903）
