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养老保险缴费、价格转嫁与企业出口

李艳 马燕来 李书轩 李海风

经济学报2025,Vol.12Issue(2):39-58,20.
经济学报2025,Vol.12Issue(2):39-58,20.

养老保险缴费、价格转嫁与企业出口

Pension Contribution Rate Changes,Pass-through,and Firm Exports

李艳 1马燕来 2李书轩 3李海风4

作者信息

  • 1. 清华大学中国财政税收研究所
  • 2. 国家发展和改革委员会投资研究所
  • 3. 中国保险资产管理业协会研究规划部
  • 4. 北京大学经济学院
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

As a significant component of corporate costs in China,pension insurance contributions have received insufficient attention regarding to their cost-transfer mechanisms to product prices and subsequent effects on product competitiveness.This study examines the impact of pension insurance contribution rate reforms on enterprise exports,exploring transmission mechanisms through consumer price transfers(export product pricing).Our findings reveal that substantial inter-city disparities exist,with coastal regions maintaining lower rates compared to Northeast China and Tibet,whereas state-owned enterprises have higher contribution rates with smaller regional variations.Besides,higher pension contribution rates significantly reduce both export probability(extensive margin)and export volume(intensive margin),with diminished effects observed among larger,more established enterprises and industries with higher marketization levels.Furthermore,mechanism analysis demonstrates tripartite transmission channels:pension costs affect export performance through price pass-through to consumers,aggravated financing constraints,and structural labor adjustments.The study concludes that excessive pension contribution rates ultimately transfer to consumers via price increases,undermining corporate competitiveness in international markets and impeding trade's pivotal role in economic development.

关键词

养老保险缴费/企业出口/价格转嫁

分类

社会科学

引用本文复制引用

李艳,马燕来,李书轩,李海风..养老保险缴费、价格转嫁与企业出口[J].经济学报,2025,12(2):39-58,20.

基金项目

本研究受北京市社会科学基金青年项目(项目批准号:21JJC020)的资助. (项目批准号:21JJC020)

经济学报

2095-7254

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