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考虑结构因素影响的城市排水系统韧性评估方法

鲁佳慧 刘家宏 刘创 赵梓同 宁占金 林金良

水利水电技术(中英文)2025,Vol.56Issue(6):1-12,12.
水利水电技术(中英文)2025,Vol.56Issue(6):1-12,12.DOI:10.13928/j.cnki.wrahe.2025.06.001

考虑结构因素影响的城市排水系统韧性评估方法

A resilience assessment methodology for urban drainage systems considering the influence of structural factors

鲁佳慧 1刘家宏 2刘创 3赵梓同 4宁占金 1林金良1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国消防救援学院,北京 102202
  • 2. 水利部数字孪生流域重点实验室,北京 100038||中国水利水电科学研究院流域水循环模拟与调控国家重点实验室,北京 100038
  • 3. 水利部发展研究中心,北京 100038
  • 4. 福建森林消防救援总队三明支队,福建三明 353000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

[Objective]Frequent global flooding has led to increasing challenges for urban drainage systems,including not only extreme rainfall,but also the uncertain threats posed by potential structural failures such as pipe deterioration and bursting.In or-der to study the level of resilience of urban drainage systems under extreme external rainfall and internal structural failure,[Methods]considering the influence of pipe age and flow velocity,the structural failure probability calculation method is pro-posed,and the overloading scenario without considering structural factors and the composite scenario with considering structural factors are constructed.Based on the comprehensive consideration of the preparatory stage,response stage and recovery stage of the response process of urban drainage system to extreme loads,the resilience assessment indexes are selected and a resilience assessment model based on cloud model is established.The proposed method is applied to the study area for case study analysis.[Results]The result show that the total flood volume in the urban drainage system under the composite scenario increased by more than 60%compared with the exceeding load scenario,and the average flood duration increased by more than 1.0 h.After topolo-gy optimization,the total flood volume in the urban drainage system under the exceeding load scenario and the composite scenario decreased by 24.7%~30.1%and 20.5%~48.4%,respectively.[Conclusion]Structural failure has a certain impact on the re-silience of urban drainage systems,leading to a decrease in drainage capacity;topology optimization can improve the system resil-ience to a certain extent.The result show that the proposed method can effectively assess the resilience of urban drainage systems under extreme loads and provide a reference for the safe operation of urban drainage systems under extreme loads.

关键词

城市排水系统/结构因素/极端荷载/韧性评估/气候变化/洪水/降雨/极端天气

Key words

urban drainage systems/structural factors/extreme loads/resilience assessment/climate change/flood/rainfall/extreme weather

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

鲁佳慧,刘家宏,刘创,赵梓同,宁占金,林金良..考虑结构因素影响的城市排水系统韧性评估方法[J].水利水电技术(中英文),2025,56(6):1-12,12.

基金项目

水利部数字孪生流域重点实验室开放研究基金项目(Z0202042022) (Z0202042022)

国家重点研发计划揭榜挂帅项目"特大城市外洪内涝灾害链联防联控应急技术与示范"(2022YFC3090600) (2022YFC3090600)

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