生态学报2025，Vol.45Issue(13)：6143-6156,14.DOI:10.20103/j.stxb.202412173103
面向碳达峰碳中和与共同富裕的中国省域可持续发展评估
Sustainable development assessment of Chinese provinces towards peak and net-zero carbon emissions and common prosperity
摘要
Abstract
Advancing the localization of sustainable development assessment is significant both globally and locally.By aligning the goals of the United Nations' Sustainable Development Agenda with the tasks of Chinese-style modernization,this study proposes an evaluation index system that incorporates peak and net-zero carbon emissions and common prosperity into sustainable development assessment.It encompasses five key dimensions of sustainability:high-quality economic growth,social well-being improvement,equitable sharing of prosperity,green and low-carbon transition,and environmental governance,including 48 specific indicators.Using this evaluation index system,we evaluate the progress of sustainable development in 31 Chinese provinces from 2013 to 2022,with a particular focus on the spatial correlations and dimensional coupling coordination of provincial sustainability,examine the impacts of efforts towards peak and net-zero emissions and common prosperity on provincial sustainability,validate the scientific rigor of our evaluation index system,and discuss the limitations of this study and potential solutions.The results show that:(1)Provincial sustainability has continued to improve by 1.50％annually on average,exhibiting a distinct spatial gradient from southeast to northwest China;(2)The spatial positive correlation of provincial sustainability has gradually strengthened,accompanied by an intensification of spatial polarization.This polarization is characterized by increasing number of high-high and low-low clusters concentrated within the southeast and northwest of the Hu Line,respectively;(3)Provincial performance across all the five dimensions has improved,with the dimensions of high-quality economic growth,social well-being improvement,and equitable sharing of prosperity experience an east-to-west spatial gradient,while the dimensions of green and low-carbon transition and environmental governance follow a south-to-north spatial gradient;(4)Despite improvements in the coupling coordination among the five dimensions,it remains at a relatively low level in 22 provinces,especially in the northwestern regions,where disparities between environmental governance and high-quality economic growth are particularly pronounced;and(5)Efforts towards peak and net-zero emissions and common prosperity both have affected the provincial sustainability,particularly the former through trade-offs that result in a decline in the sustainable development rankings of ten provinces,with an average drop of four positions.By bringing together peak and net-zero carbon emissions and common prosperity in the context of Chinese-style modernization,we make an effort to improve a localized assessment methodology for sustainable development that is more targeted,interactive,flexible and balanced.The findings are expected to offer valuable insights into the spatio-temporal variations in sustainable development at the provincial level.关键词
碳达峰碳中和/共同富裕/可持续发展/评价指标体系/省域Key words
peak and net-zero emissions/common prosperity/sustainable development/evaluation index system/provincial level引用本文复制引用
方恺,雷毅菲,李程琳,罗明强,席继轩,李若瑜..面向碳达峰碳中和与共同富裕的中国省域可持续发展评估[J].生态学报,2025,45(13):6143-6156,14.基金项目
国家社科基金重大项目(22&ZD108,24VRC079) （22&ZD108,24VRC079）
国家自然科学基金项目(72074193,42341205) （72074193,42341205）
