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基于PSR模型的长江流域安徽段乡村韧性时空演变及其影响因素

张少杰 李兰兰 孙宏鑫 肖铁桥 董冬

生态学报2025,Vol.45Issue(13):6231-6245,15.
生态学报2025,Vol.45Issue(13):6231-6245,15.DOI:10.20103/j.stxb.202410252604

基于PSR模型的长江流域安徽段乡村韧性时空演变及其影响因素

Spatio-temporal evolution and influencing factors of rural resilience in the Anhui section of the Yangtze River Basin based on the PSR model

张少杰 1李兰兰 2孙宏鑫 3肖铁桥 1董冬1

作者信息

  • 1. 安徽建筑大学建筑与规划学院,合肥 230601||安徽省国土空间规划与生态研究院,合肥 230601
  • 2. 安徽建筑大学建筑与规划学院,合肥 230601
  • 3. 赣南医科大学第一临床医学院,赣州 341000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

As an important part of the Yangtze River Economic Belt,the development of rural areas in the Yangtze River Basin(Anhui Section)is facing many challenges:frequent natural disasters,deterioration of the ecological environment,economic and social transformation,population loss,economic and social decay,etc.,and rural revitalization and sustainable rural development have become problems that need to be solved urgently.Based on the"Pressure-State-Response"(PSR)model,the scientific connotation and operating mechanism of rural resilience in the Yangtze River Basin(Anhui Section)were discussed.Rural resilience is defined as the ability of rural systems to adapt,recover and transform in the face of external disruptions.By constructing an evaluation index system for rural resilience,using the entropy method,spatial autocorrelation model,geographic detector and other methods to explore the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of rural resilience of 31 county-level units in the Anhui section of the Yangtze River Basin from 2011 to 2020,the results show that rural resilience generally shows an upward trend,and is positively correlated with factors such as economic strength,industrial structure and market size.Spatially,it presents a"gradient"distribution characteristics of"high in the northeast and low in the southwest".From 2011 to 2020,the spatial agglomeration characteristics of rural resilience level changed from weak to strong,indicating that the"polarization"phenomenon of rural resilience in the region became more and more obvious.The results of local autocorrelation measurement show that the"high-high"agglomeration area of rural resilience is mainly distributed around Hefei City and gradually expands,and the"low-low"agglomeration area is mainly distributed in the county area of Dabie Mountain area on the west side of the study area,and the rural resilience is distributed in a"block-like"manner and is relatively regular.This study emphasizes that the interaction between economic foundation and infrastructure construction has an important impact on the improvement of rural resilience,which is of great significance for a comprehensive understanding of the evolution mechanism of rural resilience in the Anhui section of the Yangtze River Basin,and provides theoretical support and policy suggestions for how to solve the problems faced by natural disasters and ecological environment deterioration in the Anhui section of the Yangtze River Basin.In the future,the interaction mechanism between urban and rural resilience should be further explored to achieve efficient allocation of resources and coordinated regional development.

关键词

乡村韧性/PSR模型/时空演变/长江流域(安徽段)

Key words

rural resilience/PSR model/spatio-temporal evolution/Yangtze River Basin(Anhui section)

引用本文复制引用

张少杰,李兰兰,孙宏鑫,肖铁桥,董冬..基于PSR模型的长江流域安徽段乡村韧性时空演变及其影响因素[J].生态学报,2025,45(13):6231-6245,15.

基金项目

2022年度安徽省教育厅高校人文社科研究项目重点项目(2022AH050226) (2022AH050226)

安徽省高校自然科学基金重点项目(2022AH050244) (2022AH050244)

生态学报

OA北大核心

1000-0933

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