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南昌市汛期降雨结构时空特征及其与大尺度气候因子的相关性

周展雄 刘卫林 张景嵘 胡林浩 郭强

水资源与水工程学报2025,Vol.36Issue(3):99-107,9.
水资源与水工程学报2025,Vol.36Issue(3):99-107,9.DOI:10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2025.03.12

南昌市汛期降雨结构时空特征及其与大尺度气候因子的相关性

Spatiotemporal characteristics of Nanchang rainfall structure during flood season and its relationship with large-scale climatic factors

周展雄 1刘卫林 1张景嵘 1胡林浩 1郭强1

作者信息

  • 1. 江西水利电力大学 水资源调配与高效利用江西省重点实验室,江西 南昌 330099
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In the context of global climate warming,we studied the temporal and spatial variation charac-teristics of rainfall patterns during flood season and their relationship with large-scale climatic factors based on daily rainfall data from 13 rainfall stations in Nanchang City from 1965 to 2017.Analysis on the trend,abrupt change,period,and spatial distribution characteristics of rainfall during flood season were conducted,and the connection between rainfall and large-scale climatic factors was explored.The results show that during the flood season of 1965-2017,the amount and intensity of rainstorm showed an in-creasing trend,while the moderate rainfall,heavy rainfall,and total rainfall showed a decreasing trend.The rainfall and rainy days at moderate rainfall level,as well as rainfall intensity at all levels,had a 28-year period;whereas those at heavy rainfall,rainstorm,and total rainfall had an 18-year period.The rainfall and rainy days at all levels in the northwest of Nanchang were higher than those in other regions,and the intensity of heavy rainfall and rainstorm in the west region were higher than those in the east re-gion.The flood season rainfall showed a positive correlation with NAO and NINO3.4,and a negative cor-relation with SOI,SASMI,and the subtropical high ridge line.SOI and the subtropical high ridge line showed an advancing effect on rainfall,while NAO,NINO3.4,and SASMI showed a lagging effect.

关键词

汛期/降雨指标/气候因子/趋势分析/突变分析/小波分析/南昌市

Key words

flood season/rainfall index/climatic factor/trend analysis/abrupt change analysis/wave-let analysis/Nanchang City

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

周展雄,刘卫林,张景嵘,胡林浩,郭强..南昌市汛期降雨结构时空特征及其与大尺度气候因子的相关性[J].水资源与水工程学报,2025,36(3):99-107,9.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(52069015) (52069015)

江西省优势科技创新团队建设计划项目(20171BCB24012) (20171BCB24012)

江西省高层次高技能领军人才培养工程(2023)项目 (2023)

水资源与水工程学报

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