中国感染控制杂志2025，Vol.24Issue(7)：890-897,8.DOI:10.12138/j.issn.1671-9638.20257188
基于德尔菲法的传染病监测预警业务指标体系构建
Construction of operational indicator system for infectious disease monito-ring and early warning based on Delphi method
摘要
Abstract
Objective To construct an operational indicator system for infectious disease monitoring and early warning,and provide data support and decision-making basis for monitoring and early warning.Methods A preli-minary indicator framework was constructed through literature analysis and expert interviews,and expert consultation was conducted using the Delphi method.A total of 30 experts were selected.The score of the importance of indica-tors based on the consultation results was calculated,and the weight was determined.Results The response rates of expert consultation questionnaires from two rounds were both 100％,with expert authority coefficients(reliabili-ty coefficient)being 0.87 and 0.88 for the first and second rounds,respectively.Kendall's W coefficients ranged from 0.137 to 0.424,with statistically significant differences(all P＜0.001).Coefficients of variation for all indi-cators were＜0.25,indicating that expert opinions tend to be consistent and the results were authoritative and relia-ble.The finally constructed indicator system encompassed 4 first-level,25 second-level,and 68 third-level indica-tors.Conclusion The operational indicator system for infectious disease monitoring and early warning developed in this study can provide a basis for the practice of infectious disease monitoring and early warning as well as related scientific decision-making.关键词
传染病/监测/预警/业务指标体系Key words
infectious disease/monitoring/early warning/operational indicator system分类
医药卫生引用本文复制引用
李明,栗圆,张一鸣,马家奇,李刚..基于德尔菲法的传染病监测预警业务指标体系构建[J].中国感染控制杂志,2025,24(7):890-897,8.基金项目
国家重点研发计划基金项目(2023YFC2308703) （2023YFC2308703）
