Abstract
Objective To investigate the predictive value of early fluid balance combined with daily average fluid intake on the prognosis of patients who received hematoma evacuation for spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage(sICH).Methods This study retrospectively and consecutively enrolled patients who underwent hematoma evacuation for sICH admitted to the Neurosurgical Intensive Care Unit of North China University of Science and Technology Affiliated Hospital between January 2023 and January 2025.Patients'baseline and clinical data were collected,including gender,age,admission vital signs(body temperature,respiratory rate,heart rate,systolic and diastolic blood pressure),medical history(hypertension,diabetes mellitus,coronary heart disease),admission Glasgow coma scale(GCS)score,admission laboratory parameters(including white blood cell count,red blood cell count,platelet count,urine bacterial levels,urine ketones,urine pH,homocysteine),hemorrhage location,hemorrhage volume,time from ictus to surgery,and hematoma evacuation rate(hematoma evacuation rate[％]=[preoperative hematoma volume-postoperative hematoma volume]/preoperative hematoma volume × 100％).Fluid intake,output,balance,daily average intake,and cumulative fluid balance during the early postoperative period(the first to seventh 24-hour periods)were assessed and recorded.Fluid intake comprised the sum of intravenously administered fluids(crystalloids,hypertonic fluids,colloids,blood products,and parenteral nutrition),enteral nutrition(nasogastric feeding solutions and water),and renal replacement therapy fluids.Fluid output comprised the sum of urine volume,vomitus,drainage fluid,and dialysis fluid losses.Fluid balance was defined as the difference between fluid intake and output.Daily average intake was calculated as the average of the fluid intake over the first seven postoperative 24-hour periods.Cumulative fluid balance was the sum of the fluid balances over the first seven postoperative 24-hour periods.Patient outcomes were assessed at 30 days postoperatively.Discharged patients underwent outpatient review or telephone follow-up,while inpatients were evaluated by neurosurgeons.Prognosis was evaluated using the 30-day modified Rankin scale(mRS)score:mRS scores 0-3 were classified as favorable prognosis,and mRS scores 4-6 as poor prognosis.Patients were subsequently divided into favorable prognosis and poor prognosis groups based on mRS scores.Factors with P＜0.05 in univariate comparisons and without collinearity(multicollinearity was defined by:tolerance＜0.1 and variance inflation factor＞10)were included in multivariate Logistic regression analysis to identify independent risk factors for poor 30-day prognosis after hematoma evacuation in sICH patients.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis was employed to evaluate the predictive value of relevant factors for poor 30-day prognosis after hematoma evacuation in sICH patients.Results A total of 320 patients who underwent hematoma evacuation for sICH were enrolled,including 192 males and 128 females,with an age range of 20-91 years(median age 62[53,68]years).Among them,144 patients were assigned to the favorable prognosis group and 176 to the poor prognosis group.The poor prognosis group exhibited significantly higher hemorrhage volume,homocysteine level,fluid intake at the 3rd,5th,6th,and 7th 24-hour periods,fluid balance at the 3rd,5th,6th,and 7th 24-hour periods,daily average intake,and cumulative fluid balance compared to the favorable prognosis group(all P＜0.05).The favorable prognosis group had a significantly higher hematoma evacuation rate,GCS score,proportion of supratentorial hemorrhage and negative urine ketones than the poor prognosis group(all P＜0.05).No significant differences were found in other clinical data(all P＞0.05).Fluid balance over the first seven postoperative 24-hour periods displayed a rise-decline-rise pattern in the poor prognosis group and a rise-decline pattern in the favorable prognosis group.Both groups peaked at the 3rd 24-hour period.Multivariate Logistic regression analysis identified fluid balance at the 3rd 24-hour period(OR,2.013,95％CI 1.386-2.922,P＜0.01)and daily average intake(OR,3.583,95％CI 1.793-7.161,P＜0.01)as independent influencing factors for poor 30-day prognosis after hematoma evacuation in sICH patients.ROC curve analysis revealed that the area under the curve(AUC)for fluid balance at the 3rd 24-hour period and daily average intake in predicting poor 30-day prognosis were 0.699(95％CI 0.642-0.757)and 0.765(95％CI 0.712-0.819),respectively.The combined model of fluid balance at the 3rd 24-hour period and daily average intake achieved an AUC of 0.804(95％CI 0.756-0.853),demonstrating significantly superior predictive performance compared to either variable alone(both P＜0.05).Conclusions The combination of fluid balance at the 3rd 24-hour period and daily average intake demonstrates modest predictive value for poor 30-day prognosis after hematoma evacuation in sICH patients.These findings require validation through multicenter,large-scale,prospective studies.关键词
脑出血/预后/预测/液体平衡Key words
Intracerebral hemorrhage/Prognosis/Prediction/Fluid balance
