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基于斜坡单元和信息量-逻辑回归的滑坡易发性评价

蔡环宇 易庆林 邓茂林 宋雨航 费霈妍

地震工程学报2025,Vol.47Issue(5):1090-1101,12.
地震工程学报2025,Vol.47Issue(5):1090-1101,12.DOI:10.20000/j.1000-0844.20230811003

基于斜坡单元和信息量-逻辑回归的滑坡易发性评价

Landslide susceptibility assessment based on slope units and information value-logistic regression:a case study of the Xiangxi and Zhaxi River basins in the Three Gorges Reservoir area

蔡环宇 1易庆林 2邓茂林 2宋雨航 3费霈妍3

作者信息

  • 1. 湖北省地质灾害防治工程技术研究中心(三峡大学),湖北宜昌 443002||三峡大学(湖北)设计咨询研究院有限责任公司,湖北宜昌 443002
  • 2. 湖北省地质灾害防治工程技术研究中心(三峡大学),湖北宜昌 443002
  • 3. 三峡大学土木与建筑学院,湖北宜昌 443002
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Frequent landslides in the Xiangxi and Zhaxi River basins of the Three Gorges Reser-voir area pose significant threats to life,property,and transportation safety.To investigate the causes and development of landslides in this area,this study selected 11 influencing factors,namely elevation,elevation difference,slope gradient,slope aspect,engineering geological rock groups,slope structure,water contact degree,distance to water systems,distance to roads,rainfall,and land use.The results showed the following:(1)Rainfall and engineering geological rock groups exhibited the strongest positive correlation with landslide occurrence.(2)Suscepti-bility patterns differed significantly between the two basins because of geological and lithological variations,i.e.,the right and southern left banks of the Xiangxi River showed higher susceptibili-ty than the northern left bank,whereas both banks of the Zhaxi River exhibited high to very high susceptibility.(3)Susceptibility levels decreased significantly with the increase in distance to riv-ers;meanwhile,areas with intensive human activities generally exhibited higher susceptibility.The model achieved an accuracy of 0.840 under the receiver operating characteristic curve,confir-ming its reliability in landslide prediction.Slope units exhibited superior alignment with actual landslide distributions compared with grid-based approaches.

关键词

斜坡单元/信息量/逻辑回归/滑坡/易发性

Key words

slope unit/information value/logistic regression/landslide/susceptibility

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

蔡环宇,易庆林,邓茂林,宋雨航,费霈妍..基于斜坡单元和信息量-逻辑回归的滑坡易发性评价[J].地震工程学报,2025,47(5):1090-1101,12.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金面上项目(42172303) (42172303)

地震工程学报

OA北大核心

1000-0844

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