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惩罚与拒止:"大国竞争"视域下美国太空威慑的战略逻辑及其对华政策实践

黄硕 石斌

太平洋学报2025,Vol.33Issue(7):47-63,17.
太平洋学报2025,Vol.33Issue(7):47-63,17.DOI:10.14015/j.cnki.1004-8049.2025.07.004

惩罚与拒止:"大国竞争"视域下美国太空威慑的战略逻辑及其对华政策实践

Punishment and Denial:Analysis of the Logic of US Space Deterrence Against China from the Perspective of"Great Power Competition"

黄硕 1石斌1

作者信息

  • 1. 南京大学,江苏 南京 210023
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Deterrence by punishment and deterrence by denial,as the two fundamental behavioral logics of deterrence theory,have long been the core concepts guiding the practice of US space deterrence.In prac-tice,the two logics manifest as distinct strategic cognitions:"space in deterrence"and"deterrence in space".The former focuses on developing the offensive performance of space systems,while the latter em-phasizes strengthening the defensive performance of space-based assets.In the era of"Great Power-Com-petition",the space is rising as an important variable affecting the strategic competition between China and the United States.Since Trump 1.0,under the guidance of the cognition of"Great Power-Competition",the US government promotes the practice of space deterrence against China for the strategic purpose of maintai-ning its hegemony in areas of economy,military,technology and politics.After long-term practice,the U-nited States has gradually established a space deterrence architecture towards China that promotes coordina-ted advancement through paths such as"in space","to space","from space",and"through space".However,the effectiveness of the United States'space deterrence against China is influenced by the three elements of deterrence theory—deterrence strength,deterrence determination,and deterrence signal trans-mission,and faces enormous uncertainty.

关键词

惩罚性威慑/拒止性威慑/"大国竞争"/太空威慑/中美关系

Key words

deterrence by punishment/deterrence by denial/"Great Power-Competition"/space deter-rence/China-US relations

分类

社会科学

引用本文复制引用

黄硕,石斌..惩罚与拒止:"大国竞争"视域下美国太空威慑的战略逻辑及其对华政策实践[J].太平洋学报,2025,33(7):47-63,17.

太平洋学报

OA北大核心

1004-8049

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