沙漠与绿洲气象2025，Vol.19Issue(4)：53-59,7.DOI:10.12057/j.issn.1002-0799.2411.14057
中亚区域快速更新多尺度分析和预报系统研发进展
Advances in the Development of a Rapid-Update Multi-scale Analysis and Forecast System for Central Asia
摘要
Abstract
The Institute of Desert Meteorology,China Meteorological Administration,has been advancing the development of the Central Asia Rapid-Update Multi-scale Analysis and Forecast System(RMAPS-CA)since 2017.Significant progress has been made in the joint assimilation of multi-source data,the optimization of parameterization schemes,and the adjustment of the dynamic framework.This paper reviews the operational development of RMAPS-CA and highlights key research achievements,including the assimilation of radar reflectivity,the separation of sub-grid physical processes such as gravity wave drag associated with upper-level sub-grid terrain and near-surface blocking drag,the implementation of a terrain-following dynamic framework,and the post-processing of forecast products using the Bayesian Model Averaging(BMA)method.In response to the characteristics of sparse conventional observations and the vast desert surfaces of Central Asia,the paper proposes suggestions for strengthening the operational development and application of Numerical Weather Prediction(NWP)in the region,with a focus on the assimilation of satellite-ground channels.关键词
中亚区域/快速更新多尺度分析/混合地形追随坐标/次网格尺度地形重力波拖曳方案/资料同化Key words
Center Asia/RMAPS-CA/hybrid terrain-following coordinate/sub-grid scale orographic gravity wave/data assimilation分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
马玉芬,刘军建,张海亮,艾力亚尔·艾海提,李火青,琚陈相,李曼..中亚区域快速更新多尺度分析和预报系统研发进展[J].沙漠与绿洲气象,2025,19(4):53-59,7.基金项目
新疆气象局引导性项目(YD202302) （YD202302）
新疆维吾尔自治区自然科学基金(2022D01A369) （2022D01A369）
新疆气象局科研课题项目(ZD202402) （ZD202402）
新疆气象局创新团队建设项目(ZD202306) （ZD202306）
