重庆工商大学学报（社会科学版）2025，Vol.42Issue(4)：35-50,16.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1672-0598.2025.04.004
考虑关税差异和风险偏好对制造商供应链转移决策的影响
Considering the Impact of Tariff Differences and Risk Preferences on the Decisions of Manufacturers to Transfer Supply Chains
摘要
Abstract
International trade frictions and conflicts have led countries to raise high tariff barriers,which have had a great impact on cross-border supply chain systems,while countries with lower tariffs face numerous uncertainty risks.Therefore,it is urgent to explore the impact of tariffs and risks on manufacturers'production decisions.This paper discusses and analyzes the relationship between manufacturers in the country of origin,re-tailers in the importing country,and the government of the importing country in the supply chain system,and establishes the S-model,Z-model,and SZ-model.The study finds that:prices and market demand in the direct sales market are more likely to be affected by tariffs;the more risk a manufacturer prefers,the more likely it is to develop emerging production bases and transfer its supply chain;tariffs,risks,the proportion of supply chain transfers and the proportion of the transferred portion used for wholesaling all affect the manufacturer's utility;when the factors of tariff,risk and potential market share of retailers are certain,it is more favorable for manu-facturers to obtain greater utility by effectively formulating the proportion of supply chain transfer and the propor-tion of the transferred portion used for wholesaling.关键词
关税差异/风险偏好/双渠道/供应链转移/转口贸易Key words
tariff difference/risk preference/dual-channel/supply chain transfer/entrepot trade分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
肖强,张精华,郑云健..考虑关税差异和风险偏好对制造商供应链转移决策的影响[J].重庆工商大学学报（社会科学版）,2025,42(4):35-50,16.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(52062026)"城市出租车合乘出行供需演化机理与调控策略研究" （52062026）
甘肃省自然科学基金项目(23JRZA364)"考虑政府补贴的动力电池闭环供应链回收定价策略与回收模式选择研究" （23JRZA364）
甘肃省教育厅"双一流"重大研究计划(GSSYLXM-04)"立体交通多网耦合协同优化关键理论与技术" （GSSYLXM-04）
兰州交通大学基础研究拔尖人才培养计划(2022JC56)"甘肃省汽车回收企业逆向物流能力评价及提升路径研究" （2022JC56）
