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基于系统动力学的混合战争建模方法

吕学志 程双平 许长朋 王锴 刘长江

火力与指挥控制2025,Vol.50Issue(8):38-46,9.
火力与指挥控制2025,Vol.50Issue(8):38-46,9.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-0640.2025.08.005

基于系统动力学的混合战争建模方法

A Modeling Approach for Hybrid Warfare Based on System Dynamics

吕学志 1程双平 1许长朋 1王锴 1刘长江2

作者信息

  • 1. 中国人民解放军32179部队,北京 100012
  • 2. 中国人民解放军32153部队,河北 张家口 075100
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In view of the increasing trend of hybrid warfare in modern war and the increasing emphasis of the belligerents on the comprehensive use of political,military and economic means,this paper proposes a modeling method of hybrid warfare based on system dynamics.Firstly,the definition,origin and impact characteristics of hybrid warfare are introduced.Secondly,a hybrid warfare modeling framework based on system dynamics is proposed,outlining the fundamental modeling approaches for the military,economic,political,and social domains within hybrid warfare.Finally,a simulation model based on system dynamics is established for the fictional hybrid warfare,and the game analysis on whether theRed and Blue forcesto be mobilized is carried out by using the model.The simulation analysis results show that the system dynamics can be used to analyze the feasibility and effectiveness of hybrid warfare.

关键词

混合战争/系统动力学/兰彻斯特方程/系统建模

Key words

hybrid war/system dynamics/lanchester laws/system model

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

吕学志,程双平,许长朋,王锴,刘长江..基于系统动力学的混合战争建模方法[J].火力与指挥控制,2025,50(8):38-46,9.

基金项目

全军军事理论科研基金资助项目 ()

火力与指挥控制

OA北大核心

1002-0640

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