四川农业大学学报2025,Vol.43Issue(4):857-865,9.DOI:10.16036/j.issn.1000-2650.202502581
新质生产力对粮食生产安全的影响研究
Research on the Impact of New Quality Productive Forces on Grain Production Security:Intermediary Effect of Agricultural Industry Structure Adjustment and Farmers'Income Increase
摘要
Abstract
[Objective]Exploring whether and how new quality productive forces can promote grain pro-duction security and providing policy recommendations for safeguarding national grain security strategies.[Method]Exploring whether and how new quality productive forces can promote grain production security and providing policy recommendations for safeguarding national grain security strategies.[Result]The development of new quality productive forces has a statistically significant positive effect on grain produc-tion security,and this conclusion remains valid after conducting robustness tests.Heterogeneity analysis indicates that the positive impact of new quality productive forces on grain production security is stronger in the central and western regions compared to the eastern region,more pronounced areas with high levels of grain security than in those with low levels,and greater where the development of new quality produc-tive forces is advanced compared to areas with low levels.Analysis of the mechanisms reveals that adjust-ments in agricultural industrial structure and increases in farmers'incomes serve as mediating factors in the enhancement of grain production security.Additionally,these adjustments and increases also promote grain production security through the development of new,high-quality productive forces.The threshold test results show that the positive effect of new quality productive forces on grain production security is in-fluenced by a single threshold rlated to the scale of farmland management.Beyond this threshold value,the effect diminishes marginally.[Conclusion]It is essential to strengthen policy support for new quality productive forces in grain production,promote the development of new quality productive forces accord-ing to local conditions,and enhance the intermediary roles of agricultural industrial structure adjust-ments and increases in farmers'income.关键词
新质生产力/粮食安全/农业产业结构/农户增收Key words
new quality productive forces/grain production security/agricultural industrial structure/farmers'income increase分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
刘威,王璐..新质生产力对粮食生产安全的影响研究[J].四川农业大学学报,2025,43(4):857-865,9.基金项目
国家社会科学基金(21BJY060) (21BJY060)
教育部人文社会科学研究青年项目(19YJC790085) (19YJC790085)
河南省高校人文社科重点研究基地物流研究中心资助项目(2020-JD-04). (2020-JD-04)