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铁路货运单价协商机制下的承运盈余预测与定价演化优化

胡彪杰 杨文冠 谢大锋 安腾 霍鹏敏

铁道运输与经济2025,Vol.47Issue(9):25-31,74,8.
铁道运输与经济2025,Vol.47Issue(9):25-31,74,8.DOI:10.16668/j.cnki.issn.1003-1421.2025.09.03

铁路货运单价协商机制下的承运盈余预测与定价演化优化

Prediction of Carrier Surplus and Optimization of Pricing Evolution under Mechanism of Railway Freight Unit Price Negotiation

胡彪杰 1杨文冠 2谢大锋 3安腾 3霍鹏敏3

作者信息

  • 1. 中国铁道科学研究院 研究生部,北京 100081
  • 2. 中国铁道科学研究院集团有限公司 电子计算技术研究所,北京 100081
  • 3. 中国铁道科学研究院集团有限公司 北京经纬信息技术有限公司,北京 100081
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Under the railway freight transportation mode,transportation companies can negotiate unit prices based on their operating conditions.However,there is a lack of effective tools and algorithms for simulating and evaluating the impact of unit price adjustments of transportation items on corporate surplus and for computing optimal pricing strategies.To address this issue,this paper proposed a data flow-based method for predicting railway freight transport surplus and an evolutionary computation-based method for optimizing pricing strategy.The prediction process was organized according to data flow.The effectiveness of data processing results was demonstrated by simulating and analyzing two unit price adjustment schemes for railway transportation enterprises.By considering the diverse business structures of transportation enterprises,a general evolutionary computation method was proposed to optimize unit price strategies based on the prediction method.It has been verified that the evolutionary computation method effectively and rapidly obtains near-optimal unit price solutions to meet business requirements.The proposed approach is expected to assist transportation enterprises in adjusting business decisions,improve their competitiveness,and achieve overall efficiency improvement across the railway network.

关键词

铁路货运/单价协商/盈余预测/资金清算/演化计算

Key words

Railway Freight/Unit Price Negotiation/Surplus Prediction/Fund Liquidation/Evolutionary Computation

分类

交通工程

引用本文复制引用

胡彪杰,杨文冠,谢大锋,安腾,霍鹏敏..铁路货运单价协商机制下的承运盈余预测与定价演化优化[J].铁道运输与经济,2025,47(9):25-31,74,8.

基金项目

中国铁道科学研究院集团有限公司电子计算技术研究所科研项目(DZYF24-24) (DZYF24-24)

铁道运输与经济

OA北大核心

1003-1421

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